Sustainable targeted interventions to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic: A big data-driven modeling study in Hong Kong
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhou, Hanchu1; Zhang, Qingpeng1; Cao, Zhidong2 ; Huang, Helai3; Dajun Zeng, Daniel2
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| 刊名 | CHAOS
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| 出版日期 | 2021-10-01 |
| 卷号 | 31期号:10页码:15 |
| ISSN号 | 1054-1500 |
| DOI | 10.1063/5.0066086 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Qingpeng(qingpeng.zhang@cityu.edu.hk) |
| 英文摘要 | Nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for contact suppression have been widely used worldwide, which impose harmful burdens on the well-being of populations and the local economy. The evaluation of alternative NPIs is needed to confront the pandemic with less disruption. By harnessing human mobility data, we develop an agent-based model that can evaluate the efficacies of NPIs with individualized mobility simulations. Based on the model, we propose data-driven targeted interventions to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong without city-wide NPIs. We develop a data-driven agent-based model for 7.55 x 10 6 Hong Kong residents to evaluate the efficacies of various NPIs in the first 80 days of the initial outbreak. The entire territory of Hong Kong has been split into 4905 500 x 500 m 2 grids. The model can simulate detailed agent interactions based on the demographics data, public facilities and functional buildings, transportation systems, and travel patterns. The general daily human mobility patterns are adopted from Google's Community Mobility Report. The scenario without any NPIs is set as the baseline. By simulating the epidemic progression and human movement at the individual level, we propose model-driven targeted interventions which focus on the surgical testing and quarantine of only a small portion of regions instead of enforcing NPIs in the whole city. The effectiveness of common NPIs and the proposed targeted interventions are evaluated by 100 extensive simulations. The proposed model can inform targeted interventions, which are able to effectively contain the COVID-19 outbreak with much lower disruption of the city. It represents a promising approach to sustainable NPIs to help us revive the economy of the city and the world. |
| WOS关键词 | CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 2019 |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[72042018] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71971222] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71621002] ; Research Grants Council, University Grants Committee[C1143-20GF] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of Central South University[2019zzts868] |
| WOS研究方向 | Mathematics ; Physics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000713632800002 |
| 出版者 | AIP Publishing |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Research Grants Council, University Grants Committee ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of Central South University |
| 源URL | [http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/46347]  |
| 专题 | 自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_互联网大数据与安全信息学研究中心 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Qingpeng |
| 作者单位 | 1.City Univ Hong Kong, Sch Data Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Cent South Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat Engn, Changsha, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhou, Hanchu,Zhang, Qingpeng,Cao, Zhidong,et al. Sustainable targeted interventions to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic: A big data-driven modeling study in Hong Kong[J]. CHAOS,2021,31(10):15. |
| APA | Zhou, Hanchu,Zhang, Qingpeng,Cao, Zhidong,Huang, Helai,&Dajun Zeng, Daniel.(2021).Sustainable targeted interventions to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic: A big data-driven modeling study in Hong Kong.CHAOS,31(10),15. |
| MLA | Zhou, Hanchu,et al."Sustainable targeted interventions to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic: A big data-driven modeling study in Hong Kong".CHAOS 31.10(2021):15. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：自动化研究所
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