中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Urban Trip Generation Forecasting Based on Gradient Boosting Algorithm

文献类型:会议论文

作者Zhishuai Li2,3; Gang Xiong3; Yu Zhang1; Meng Zheng1; Xisong Dong3; Yisheng Lv2,3
出版日期2021-09-22
会议日期2021-7-15
会议地点Beijing, China
英文摘要

The four-step transportation model plays an important role in urban planning. The quality of the first phase, i.e. trip generation, determines the performance of the global course. The majority of trip generation forecasting models highly rely on mathematical derivation and have many predictor variables during the prediction, which leads to low accuracy of results and requires laboriously hand-crafted design of input vectors. This paper is the first to introduce the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) algorithm for trip generation prediction, and harmonizes such a powerful machine learning method with traditional urban planning requirements to achieve better prediction performance. Unlike the commonly used linear regression method, GBDT can automatically perform feature selection and model the non-linear relationships between input and output variables. Experimental results on real-world residential travel census in Beijing prove that the GBDT model significantly outperforms the baseline and can forecast the trip generation more accurately.

语种英语
源URL[http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/48738]  
专题自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化团队
通讯作者Yisheng Lv
作者单位1.Beijing Municipal Institute of City Planning and Design
2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
3.Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhishuai Li,Gang Xiong,Yu Zhang,et al. Urban Trip Generation Forecasting Based on Gradient Boosting Algorithm[C]. 见:. Beijing, China. 2021-7-15.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:自动化研究所

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