Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Berntell, Ellen1,3; Zhang, Qiong1,3; Li, Qiang1,3; Haywood, Alan M.4; Tindall, Julia C.4; Hunter, Stephen J.4; Zhang, Zhongshi5,6; Li, Xiangyu5; Guo, Chuncheng6; Nisancioglu, Kerim H.7,8,9 |
| 刊名 | CLIMATE OF THE PAST
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-08-27 |
| 卷号 | 17期号:4页码:1777-1794 |
| ISSN号 | 1814-9324 |
| DOI | 10.5194/cp-17-1777-2021 |
| 英文摘要 | The mid-Pliocene warm period (mPWP; similar to 3.2 million years ago) is seen as the most recent time period characterized by a warm climate state, with similar to modern geography and similar to 400 ppmv atmospheric CO2 concentration, and is therefore often considered an interesting analogue for near-future climate projections. Paleoenvironmental reconstructions indicate higher surface temperatures, decreasing tropical deserts, and a more humid climate in West Africa characterized by a strengthened West African Monsoon (WAM). Using model results from the second phase of the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP2) ensemble, we analyse changes of the WAM rainfall during the mPWP by comparing them with the control simulations for the pre-industrial period. The ensemble shows a robust increase in the summer rainfall over West Africa and the Sahara region, with an average increase of 2.5 mm/d, contrasted by a rainfall decrease over the equatorial Atlantic. An anomalous warming of the Sahara and deepening of the Saharan Heat Low, seen in >90% of the models, leads to a strengthening of the WAM and an increased monsoonal flow into the continent. A similar warming of the Sahara is seen in future projections using both phase 3 and 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3 and CMIP5). Though previous studies of future projections indicate a west-east drying-wetting contrast over the Sahel, PlioMIP2 simulations indicate a uniform rainfall increase in that region in warm climates characterized by increasing greenhouse gas forcing. We note that this effect will further depend on the long-term response of the vegetation to the CO2 forcing. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE SIMULATIONS ; EXPERIMENTAL-DESIGN ; SUMMER MONSOON ; MODEL ; MIDHOLOCENE ; VEGETATION ; EVOLUTION ; OCEAN ; VARIABILITY ; SENSITIVITY |
| 资助项目 | Vetenskapsradet[2013-06476] ; Vetenskapsradet[2017-04232] |
| WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000691998900001 |
| 资助机构 | Vetenskapsradet ; Vetenskapsradet ; Vetenskapsradet ; Vetenskapsradet ; Vetenskapsradet ; Vetenskapsradet ; Vetenskapsradet ; Vetenskapsradet |
| 源URL | [http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/102618]  |
| 专题 | 地质与地球物理研究所_中国科学院新生代地质与环境重点实验室 |
| 通讯作者 | Berntell, Ellen |
| 作者单位 | 1.Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, Stockholm, Sweden 2.Univ Utrecht, Ctr Complex Syst Sci, Utrecht, Netherlands 3.Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, Stockholm, Sweden 4.Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, W Yorkshire, England 5.China Univ Geosci, Sch Environm Studies, Dept Atmospher Sci, Wuhan, Peoples R China 6.NORCE Norwegian Res Ctr, Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Bergen, Norway 7.Univ Bergen, Dept Earth Sci, Bergen, Norway 8.Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Bergen, Norway 9.Univ Oslo, Ctr Earth Evolut & Dynam, Oslo, Norway 10.Helmholtz Zentrum Polar & Meeresforsch, Alfred Wegener Inst, Bremerhaven, Germany |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Berntell, Ellen,Zhang, Qiong,Li, Qiang,et al. Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble[J]. CLIMATE OF THE PAST,2021,17(4):1777-1794. |
| APA | Berntell, Ellen.,Zhang, Qiong.,Li, Qiang.,Haywood, Alan M..,Tindall, Julia C..,...&Brady, Esther C..(2021).Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble.CLIMATE OF THE PAST,17(4),1777-1794. |
| MLA | Berntell, Ellen,et al."Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble".CLIMATE OF THE PAST 17.4(2021):1777-1794. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地质与地球物理研究所
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