中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
首页 机构 成果 学者
  
  1. CAS IR Grid
  2. 地质与地球物理研究所
  3. 中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所
  4. 中国科学院新生代地质与环境重点实验室
Poleward Shift in Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the Northwest Pacific During Warm Periods: Past and Future

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Tao, Shichen1,2; Liu, Kam-biu3; Yu, Kefu1,4; Shi, Qi1,2; Yan, Hongqiang1,2; Zhang, Huiling5; Wang, Luo6; Huang, Zhongzhou7; Chen, Tegu1
刊名PALEOCEANOGRAPHY AND PALEOCLIMATOLOGY
出版日期2021-12-01
卷号36期号:12页码:20
ISSN号2572-4517
关键词tropical cyclones poleward shift Past millennium coral delta O-18 coral blocks Northwest Pacific
DOI10.1029/2021PA004367
英文摘要We used the top age of storm-relocated coral blocks (SRCBs) from Xisha Islands and Huangyan Island, South China Sea (SCS), in combination with existing paleotempestology records and instrumental climatic data, to reconstruct the spatio-temporal changes in tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the past millennium, and to project its future trends in the Northwestern Pacific region. We found a positive correlation between the frequencies of TCs, typhoons, and super-typhoons and the NINO3.4 on the interannual timescale during 1945-2019. TCs latitude has a significant positive correlation with sea surface temperature, with a northward migration rate of 80 +/- 11 km per decade during 1951-2019. Coral delta O-18 can well indicate the month of paleo-TCs occurrence. The frequency of SRCBs (and by inference, TCs) is relatively low during relatively warm periods (RWP) but high during relatively cold periods (RCP) in the SCS. The spatio-temporal pattern inferred from paleotempestology records further supports the notion of North-South migration in TC activity as revealed by the instrumental record in this study. TC activity mainly affected relatively low latitudes (e.g., Philippines, Vietnam, and Hainan, Guangdong, Taiwan) during the RCP (AD 1450-1900), but it migrated from low latitudes towards higher latitudes during the RWP (AD 1000-1450), affecting locations such as Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Shandong, southwestern Japan, the Korean Peninsula, and even Northeast China. Fujian and northern Guangdong may be in a transition zone of paleo-TC activity between the North and the South in the past millennium. As global warming continues, the mean tracks and landfall locations of TCs will continue to migrate northward in this region.
WOS关键词SOUTH CHINA SEA ; HISTORICAL TSUNAMIS ; XISHA ISLANDS ; ENSO EVENTS ; EL-NINO ; CLIMATE ; TYPHOON ; CORAL ; VARIABILITY ; RECORD
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[42030502] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41302281] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42090041] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41776128] ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou)[GML2019ZD0206] ; Guangdong Ocean University[230419102] ; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology[SQ201209] ; Key Laboratory of Ocean and Marginal Sea Geology, CAS[MSGL15-09]
WOS研究方向Geology ; Oceanography ; Paleontology
语种英语
出版者AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
WOS记录号WOS:000735924600011
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) ; Guangdong Ocean University ; Guangdong Ocean University ; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology ; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology ; Key Laboratory of Ocean and Marginal Sea Geology, CAS ; Key Laboratory of Ocean and Marginal Sea Geology, CAS ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) ; Guangdong Ocean University ; Guangdong Ocean University ; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology ; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology ; Key Laboratory of Ocean and Marginal Sea Geology, CAS ; Key Laboratory of Ocean and Marginal Sea Geology, CAS ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) ; Guangdong Ocean University ; Guangdong Ocean University ; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology ; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology ; Key Laboratory of Ocean and Marginal Sea Geology, CAS ; Key Laboratory of Ocean and Marginal Sea Geology, CAS ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) ; Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) ; Guangdong Ocean University ; Guangdong Ocean University ; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology ; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology ; Key Laboratory of Ocean and Marginal Sea Geology, CAS ; Key Laboratory of Ocean and Marginal Sea Geology, CAS
源URL[http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/103938]  
专题地质与地球物理研究所_中国科学院新生代地质与环境重点实验室
通讯作者Yu, Kefu; Shi, Qi
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, South China Sea Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean & Marginal Sea Geol, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
2.Southern Marine Sci & Engn Guangdong Lab Guangzho, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
3.Louisiana State Univ, Coll Coast & Environm, Dept Oceanog & Coastal Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
4.Guangxi Univ, Coral Reef Res Ctr China, Sch Marine Sci, Guangxi Lab Study Coral Reefs South China Sea, Nanning, Peoples R China
5.Guangdong Ocean Univ, Coll Ocean Engn, Zhanjiang, Peoples R China
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Key Lab Cenozo Geol & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
7.Guangdong Ocean Univ, Coll Mech & Power Engn, Zhanjiang, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Tao, Shichen,Liu, Kam-biu,Yu, Kefu,et al. Poleward Shift in Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the Northwest Pacific During Warm Periods: Past and Future[J]. PALEOCEANOGRAPHY AND PALEOCLIMATOLOGY,2021,36(12):20.
APA Tao, Shichen.,Liu, Kam-biu.,Yu, Kefu.,Shi, Qi.,Yan, Hongqiang.,...&Chen, Tegu.(2021).Poleward Shift in Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the Northwest Pacific During Warm Periods: Past and Future.PALEOCEANOGRAPHY AND PALEOCLIMATOLOGY,36(12),20.
MLA Tao, Shichen,et al."Poleward Shift in Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the Northwest Pacific During Warm Periods: Past and Future".PALEOCEANOGRAPHY AND PALEOCLIMATOLOGY 36.12(2021):20.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地质与地球物理研究所

浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本

除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。