中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
首页 机构 成果 学者
  
  1. CAS IR Grid
  2. 植物研究所
  3. 中国科学院植物研究所
  4. 植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
East Asian summer monsoon precipitation variations in China over the last 9500 years: A comparison of pollen-based reconstructions and model simulations

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Li, Jianyong; Ilvonen, Liisa4; Xu, Qinghai6,8,9; Ni, Jian1; Jin, Liya2; Holmstrom, Lasse4; Zheng, Zhuo7; Lu, Houyuan11; Luo, Yunli10; Li, Yuecong8,9
刊名HOLOCENE
出版日期2016
卷号26期号:4页码:592-602
关键词climate model climate reconstructions East Asian summer monsoon monsoonal China pollen data precipitation
ISSN号0959-6836
DOI10.1177/0959683615612564
文献子类Article
英文摘要To better understand the long-term changes of the East Asian summer monsoon precipitation (P-jja), quantitative reconstructions and model simulations are needed. Here, we develop continental-scale pollen-based transfer functions for P-jja with weighted averaging-partial least squares (WA-PLS) regression and a Bayesian multinomial regression method. We apply these transfer functions to a set of fossil pollen data from monsoonal China for quantitatively reconstructing the P-jja changes over the last 9500 years. We compare the reconstructions with P-jja simulations from a coupled atmosphere-ocean-sea ice general circulation model (the Kiel Climate Model, KCM). The results of cross-validation tests for the transfer functions show that both the WAPLS model (r2 = 0.83, root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) = 112.11 mm) and the Bayesian model (r2 = 0.86, RMSEP = 107.67 mm) exhibit good predictive performance. We stack all P-jja reconstructions from northern China to a summary curve. The stacked record reveals that P-jja increased since 9500 cal. yr BP, attained its highest level during the Holocene summer monsoon maximum (HSMM) at similar to 7000-4000 cal. yr BP and declined to present. The KCM output and the reconstructions differ in the early-Holocene (similar to 9500-7000 cal. yr BP) where the model suggests higher P-jja than the reconstructions. Moreover, during the HSMM, the amplitude of the P-jja changes (similar to 20-60 mm above present) in simulations is lower than the reconstructed changes (similar to 70-110 mm above present). The rising (declining) P-jja patterns in reconstructions before (after) the HSMM are more pronounced and fluctuating than in simulations. Other palaeohydrological data such as lake-level reconstructions indicate substantial monsoon precipitation changes throughout the Holocene. Our results therefore show that the KCM underestimates the overall amplitude of the Holocene monsoon precipitation changes.
学科主题Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
出版地LONDON
电子版国际标准刊号1477-0911
WOS关键词NORTH-CENTRAL CHINA ; HIGH-RESOLUTION ; HOLOCENE VEGETATION ; MIDHOLOCENE CLIMATE ; MOISTURE EVOLUTION ; DAIHAI LAKE ; ENVIRONMENTAL-CHANGES ; TEMPORAL PATTERNS ; SURFACE-POLLEN ; INNER-MONGOLIA
WOS研究方向Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000372866100009
出版者SAGE PUBLICATIONS LTD
资助机构Chinese Academy of SciencesChinese Academy of Sciences [XDA05120202] ; Key National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [40730103] ; National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [40730103, 41371215] ; Key Technology R&D Program of Hebei Province [13277611D] ; China Scholarship Council (CSC) at the University of HelsinkiChina Scholarship Council [201208130087] ; project EBOR from the Academy of Finland ; Nordic top-level research initiative CRAICC
源URL[http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/24978]  
专题植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
作者单位1.Hebei Normal Univ, Hebei Key Lab Environm Change & Ecol Construct, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei Province, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Environm Geochem, Inst Geochem, Beijing 100864, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Lake Sci & Environm, Nanjing Inst Geog & Limnol, Beijing 100864, Peoples R China
4.Univ Helsinki, Dept Geosci & Geog, FIN-00014 Helsinki, Finland
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, Beijing 100864, Peoples R China
6.Univ Oulu, Dept Math Sci, SF-90100 Oulu, Finland
7.Lanzhou Univ, Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Res Sch Arid Environm & Climate Change, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
8.Hebei Normal Univ, Inst Nihewan Archaeol, East Rd Southern 2nd Ring, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei Province, Peoples R China
9.Hebei Normal Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei Province, Peoples R China
10.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Cenozo Geol & Environm, Inst Geol & Geophys, Beijing 100864, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Li, Jianyong,Ilvonen, Liisa,Xu, Qinghai,et al. East Asian summer monsoon precipitation variations in China over the last 9500 years: A comparison of pollen-based reconstructions and model simulations[J]. HOLOCENE,2016,26(4):592-602.
APA Li, Jianyong.,Ilvonen, Liisa.,Xu, Qinghai.,Ni, Jian.,Jin, Liya.,...&Seppa, Heikki.(2016).East Asian summer monsoon precipitation variations in China over the last 9500 years: A comparison of pollen-based reconstructions and model simulations.HOLOCENE,26(4),592-602.
MLA Li, Jianyong,et al."East Asian summer monsoon precipitation variations in China over the last 9500 years: A comparison of pollen-based reconstructions and model simulations".HOLOCENE 26.4(2016):592-602.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：植物研究所

浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本

除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。