Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Ma Danyang1,2,3; Deng Haoyu2,3; Yin Yunhe2 ; Wu Shaohong2,3; Zheng Du2,3
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| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2019 |
| 卷号 | 29期号:1页码:29-48 |
| 关键词 | arid humid patterns climate change sensitivity aridity index China |
| ISSN号 | 1009-637X |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11442-019-1582-5 |
| 通讯作者 | Yin Yunhe(yinyh@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Changes in regional moisture patterns under the impact of climate change are an important focus for science. Based on the five global climate models (GCMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), this paper projects trends in the area of arid/humid climate regions of China over the next 100 years. It also identifies the regions of arid/humid patterns change and analyzes their temperature sensitivity of responses. Results show that future change will be characterized by a significant contraction in the humid region and an expansion of arid/humid transition zones. In particular, the sub-humid region will expand by 28.69% in the long term (2070-2099) relative to the baseline period (1981-2010). Under 2 degrees C and 4 degrees C warming, the area of the arid/humid transition zones is projected to increase from 10.17% to 13.72% of the total of China. The humid region south of the Huaihe River Basin, which is affected mainly by a future increase in evapotranspiration, will retreat southward and change to a sub-humid region. In general, the sensitivity of responses of arid/humid patterns to climate change in China will intensify with accelerating global warming. |
| WOS关键词 | DRY-WET CLIMATE ; HYDROLOGICAL DROUGHTS ; DEGREES-C ; CMIP5 ; SHIFTS ; PROJECTIONS ; MULTIMODEL ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; SIMULATIONS ; IMPACTS |
| 资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC1502904] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41530749] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571043] |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000455152500002 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| 资助机构 | National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/50467]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Yin Yunhe |
| 作者单位 | 1.Henan Prov Dev & Reform Commiss, Zhengzhou 450018, Henan, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ma Danyang,Deng Haoyu,Yin Yunhe,et al. Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2019,29(1):29-48. |
| APA | Ma Danyang,Deng Haoyu,Yin Yunhe,Wu Shaohong,&Zheng Du.(2019).Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,29(1),29-48. |
| MLA | Ma Danyang,et al."Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 29.1(2019):29-48. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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