Simulating climate change impacts and potential adaptations on rice yields in the Sichuan Basin, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Xu, Che-Chen1,2,3; Wu, Wen-Xiang1,3 ; Ge, Quan-Sheng1,3; Zhou, Yang1,3; Lin, Yu-Mei1,3; Li, Ya-Mei1,3
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| 刊名 | MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
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| 出版日期 | 2017-04-01 |
| 卷号 | 22期号:4页码:565-594 |
| 关键词 | Climate change CERES-Ricemodel Impact adaptation Rice production Sichuan Basin |
| ISSN号 | 1381-2386 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11027-015-9688-2 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Wen-Xiang(wuwx@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Rice (Oryza) is a staple food in China, and rice yield is inherently sensitive to climate change. It is of great regional and global importance to understand how and to what degree climate change will impact rice yields and to determine the adaptation options effectiveness for mitigating possible adverse impacts or for taking advantage of beneficial changes. The objectives of this study are to assess the climate change impact, the carbon dioxide (CO2) fertilization effect, and the adaptation strategy effectiveness on rice yields during future periods (2011-2099) under the newly released Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario in the Sichuan Basin, one of the most important rice production areas of China. For this purpose, the Crop Estimation through Resource and Environment Synthesis (CERES)-Rice model was applied to conduct simulation, based on high-quality meteorological, soil and agricultural experimental data. The modeling results indicated a continuing rice reduction in the future periods. Compared to that without incorporating of increased CO2 concentration, a CO2 fertilization effect could mitigate but still not totally offset the negative climate change impacts on rice yields. Three adaptive measures, including advancing planting dates, switching to current high temperature tolerant varieties, and breeding new varieties, could effectively offset the negative climate change impacts with various degrees. Our results will not only contribute to inform regional future agricultural adaptation decisions in the Sichuan Basin but also gain insight into the mechanism of regional rice yield response to global climate change and the effectiveness of widely practiced global thereby assisting with appropriate adaptive strategies. |
| WOS关键词 | ELEVATED CO2 ; CROP YIELD ; MAIZE PRODUCTION ; WHEAT YIELDS ; MODEL ; TEMPERATURE ; VARIABILITY ; PHENOLOGY ; PRODUCTIVITY ; AGRICULTURE |
| 资助项目 | National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)[2012CB955403] ; CAS Strategic Priority Research Program[XDA05130701] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[41172154] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000398780700002 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER |
| 资助机构 | National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) ; CAS Strategic Priority Research Program ; Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/64599]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Wen-Xiang |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xu, Che-Chen,Wu, Wen-Xiang,Ge, Quan-Sheng,et al. Simulating climate change impacts and potential adaptations on rice yields in the Sichuan Basin, China[J]. MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,2017,22(4):565-594. |
| APA | Xu, Che-Chen,Wu, Wen-Xiang,Ge, Quan-Sheng,Zhou, Yang,Lin, Yu-Mei,&Li, Ya-Mei.(2017).Simulating climate change impacts and potential adaptations on rice yields in the Sichuan Basin, China.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,22(4),565-594. |
| MLA | Xu, Che-Chen,et al."Simulating climate change impacts and potential adaptations on rice yields in the Sichuan Basin, China".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 22.4(2017):565-594. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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