Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Wang, Huanjiong2; Rutishauser, This1,3; Tao, Zexing2,4; Zhong, Shuying2![]() ![]() ![]() |
刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
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出版日期 | 2017-02-01 |
卷号 | 61期号:2页码:287-292 |
关键词 | Phenology Leaf unfolding date Temperature sensitivity Climate change impact |
ISSN号 | 0020-7128 |
DOI | 10.1007/s00484-016-1210-3 |
通讯作者 | Ge, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Dai, Junhu(daijh@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
英文摘要 | The impact of spring temperature forcing on the timing of leaf unfolding of plants (temperature sensitivity, S-T) is one important indicator of how and to what degree plant species track climate change. Fu et al. (Nature 526:104-107, 2015) found that S-T has significantly decreased from the 1980-1994 to the 1999-2013 period for seven mid-latitude tree species in Europe. However, long-term changes in S-T over the past 60 years are still not clear. Here, using in situ observations of leaf unfolding for seven dominant European tree species, we analyze the temporal change in S-T over decadal time scales extending the data series back to 1951. Our results demonstrate that S-T shows no statistically significant change within shifting 30-year windows from 1951 to 2013 and remains stable between 1951-1980 and 1984-2013 (3.6 versus 3.7 days A degrees C-1). This result suggests that the significant decrease in S-T over the past 33 years could not be sustained when examining the trends of phenological responses in the long run. Therefore, we could not conclude that tree spring phenology advances will slow down in the future, and the S-T changes in warming scenarios are still uncertain. |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SENSITIVITY ; PATTERN ; SERIES ; TREES ; TIME |
资助项目 | National Major Scientific Instruments Development Project[41427805] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41401071] ; National Basic Research Program of China[2012CB955304] |
WOS研究方向 | Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000393669800008 |
出版者 | SPRINGER |
资助机构 | National Major Scientific Instruments Development Project ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Basic Research Program of China |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/64875] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Ge, Quansheng; Dai, Junhu |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Bern, Oeschger Ctr Climate Change Res OCCR, Bern, Switzerland 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Univ Bern, Inst Geog, Bern, Switzerland 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Huanjiong,Rutishauser, This,Tao, Zexing,et al. Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2017,61(2):287-292. |
APA | Wang, Huanjiong,Rutishauser, This,Tao, Zexing,Zhong, Shuying,Ge, Quansheng,&Dai, Junhu.(2017).Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,61(2),287-292. |
MLA | Wang, Huanjiong,et al."Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 61.2(2017):287-292. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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