中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Wang, Huanjiong2; Rutishauser, This1,3; Tao, Zexing2,4; Zhong, Shuying2; Ge, Quansheng2; Dai, Junhu2
刊名INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
出版日期2017-02-01
卷号61期号:2页码:287-292
关键词Phenology Leaf unfolding date Temperature sensitivity Climate change impact
ISSN号0020-7128
DOI10.1007/s00484-016-1210-3
通讯作者Ge, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Dai, Junhu(daijh@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要The impact of spring temperature forcing on the timing of leaf unfolding of plants (temperature sensitivity, S-T) is one important indicator of how and to what degree plant species track climate change. Fu et al. (Nature 526:104-107, 2015) found that S-T has significantly decreased from the 1980-1994 to the 1999-2013 period for seven mid-latitude tree species in Europe. However, long-term changes in S-T over the past 60 years are still not clear. Here, using in situ observations of leaf unfolding for seven dominant European tree species, we analyze the temporal change in S-T over decadal time scales extending the data series back to 1951. Our results demonstrate that S-T shows no statistically significant change within shifting 30-year windows from 1951 to 2013 and remains stable between 1951-1980 and 1984-2013 (3.6 versus 3.7 days A degrees C-1). This result suggests that the significant decrease in S-T over the past 33 years could not be sustained when examining the trends of phenological responses in the long run. Therefore, we could not conclude that tree spring phenology advances will slow down in the future, and the S-T changes in warming scenarios are still uncertain.
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SENSITIVITY ; PATTERN ; SERIES ; TREES ; TIME
资助项目National Major Scientific Instruments Development Project[41427805] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41401071] ; National Basic Research Program of China[2012CB955304]
WOS研究方向Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000393669800008
出版者SPRINGER
资助机构National Major Scientific Instruments Development Project ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Basic Research Program of China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/64875]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Ge, Quansheng; Dai, Junhu
作者单位1.Univ Bern, Oeschger Ctr Climate Change Res OCCR, Bern, Switzerland
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Univ Bern, Inst Geog, Bern, Switzerland
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Huanjiong,Rutishauser, This,Tao, Zexing,et al. Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2017,61(2):287-292.
APA Wang, Huanjiong,Rutishauser, This,Tao, Zexing,Zhong, Shuying,Ge, Quansheng,&Dai, Junhu.(2017).Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,61(2),287-292.
MLA Wang, Huanjiong,et al."Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 61.2(2017):287-292.

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来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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