The Dynamics of Land Use/Cover and the Statistical Assessment of Cropland Change Drivers in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Najmuddin, Omaid1,2,3; Deng, Xiangzheng1,2; Bhattacharya, Ruchira4 |
刊名 | SUSTAINABILITY
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出版日期 | 2018-02-01 |
卷号 | 10期号:2页码:18 |
关键词 | Kabul river basin land use/cover change spatial calculating model (SCM) binomial logistic regression (BLR) |
ISSN号 | 2071-1050 |
DOI | 10.3390/su10020423 |
通讯作者 | Najmuddin, Omaid(omaid_najmuddin@yahoo.com) |
英文摘要 | To cope with the growing agrarian crises in Afghanistan, the government (following the fall of the Taliban regime in 2002) has taken measures through cropland expansion "extensification" and switching to mechanized agriculture "intensification". However, cropland expansion, on one hand, disturbs the existing land use/cover (LULC) and, on other hand, many socio-economic and biophysical factors affect this process. This study was based on the Kabul River Basin to answer two questions: Firstly, what was the change in LULC since 2001 to 2010 and, secondly, what are the drivers of cropland change. We used the spatial calculating model (SCM) for LULC change and binomial logistic regression (BLR) for drivers of cropland change. The net change shows that cropland, grassland, water-bodies, and built-up areas were increased, while forest, unused, and snow/ice areas were decreased. Cropland was expanded by 13%, which was positively affected by low and plain landforms, slope, soil depth, investment on agriculture and distance to the city, while it was negatively affected by plateaus and hill landforms, dry semi-arid, moist semi-arid, and sub-humid zones, precipitation, population, and the distance to roads and water. Climate adaptation measures, cropland protection in flood prone zones, population and rural migration control, farmer access to credit, irrigation, and inputs are necessary for agricultural deployment. |
WOS关键词 | COVER CHANGE ; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION ; TROPICAL REGIONS ; PROXIMATE CAUSES ; SPATIAL-PATTERN ; DRIVING FORCES ; MODEL ; CHINA ; DEFORESTATION ; INTEGRATION |
资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA 0602500] ; China National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholar[71225005] ; Bureau of International Cooperation, Chinese Academy of Sciences[131A11KYSB 20130023] ; CAS-TWAS President Fellowship Program |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000425943100146 |
出版者 | MDPI AG |
资助机构 | National Key Research and Development Program of China ; China National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholar ; Bureau of International Cooperation, Chinese Academy of Sciences ; CAS-TWAS President Fellowship Program |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/57094] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Najmuddin, Omaid |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 4.Natl Inst Rural Dev & Panchayati Raj, Hyderabad 500030, Andhra Pradesh, India |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Najmuddin, Omaid,Deng, Xiangzheng,Bhattacharya, Ruchira. The Dynamics of Land Use/Cover and the Statistical Assessment of Cropland Change Drivers in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2018,10(2):18. |
APA | Najmuddin, Omaid,Deng, Xiangzheng,&Bhattacharya, Ruchira.(2018).The Dynamics of Land Use/Cover and the Statistical Assessment of Cropland Change Drivers in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan.SUSTAINABILITY,10(2),18. |
MLA | Najmuddin, Omaid,et al."The Dynamics of Land Use/Cover and the Statistical Assessment of Cropland Change Drivers in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan".SUSTAINABILITY 10.2(2018):18. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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