中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Geographically weighted regression-based determinants of malaria incidences in northern China

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Ge, Yong1,5,7; Song, Yongze1,2; Wang, Jinfeng1,3; Liu, Wei4; Ren, Zhoupeng1,3,5; Peng, Junhuan2; Lu, Binbin6
刊名TRANSACTIONS IN GIS
出版日期2017-10-01
卷号21期号:5页码:934-953
关键词geographically weighted regression local determinants examination malaria incidence remote sensing monitoring data spatial analysis models
ISSN号1361-1682
DOI10.1111/tgis.12259
通讯作者Ge, Yong(gey@lreis.ac.cn)
英文摘要Geographically weighted regression (GWR) is an important local method to explore spatial non-stationarity in data relationships. It has been repeatedly used to examine spatially varying relationships between epidemic diseases and predictors. Malaria, a serious parasitic disease around the world, shows spatial clustering in areas at risk. In this article, we used GWR to explore the local determinants of malaria incidences over a 7-year period in northern China, a typical mid-latitude, high-risk malaria area. Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), land surface temperature (LST), temperature difference, elevation, water density index (WDI) and gross domestic product (GDP) were selected as predictors. Results showed that both positively and negatively local effects on malaria incidences appeared for all predictors except for WDI and GDP. The GWR model calibrations successfully depicted spatial variations in the effect sizes and levels of parameters, and also showed substantially improvements in terms of goodness of fits in contrast to the corresponding non-spatial ordinary least squares (OLS) model fits. For example, the diagnostic information of the OLS fit for the 7-year average case is R-2=0.243 and AICc=837.99, while significant improvement has been made by the GWR calibration with R-2=0.800 and AICc=618.54.
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPERATURE ; MODELS ; TRANSMISSION ; ENVIRONMENT ; ASSOCIATION ; POPULATION ; INFECTION ; HIGHLANDS ; CHILDREN
资助项目National ST Major Program[2012CB955503]
WOS研究方向Geography
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000412577200006
出版者WILEY
资助机构National ST Major Program
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/62308]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Ge, Yong
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.China Univ Geosci, Sch Land Sci & Technol, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Key Lab Surveillance & Early Warning Infect Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.Michigan State Univ, Dept Geog, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA
5.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
6.Wuhan Univ, Sch Remote Sensing & Informat Engn, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China
7.Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Reso, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ge, Yong,Song, Yongze,Wang, Jinfeng,et al. Geographically weighted regression-based determinants of malaria incidences in northern China[J]. TRANSACTIONS IN GIS,2017,21(5):934-953.
APA Ge, Yong.,Song, Yongze.,Wang, Jinfeng.,Liu, Wei.,Ren, Zhoupeng.,...&Lu, Binbin.(2017).Geographically weighted regression-based determinants of malaria incidences in northern China.TRANSACTIONS IN GIS,21(5),934-953.
MLA Ge, Yong,et al."Geographically weighted regression-based determinants of malaria incidences in northern China".TRANSACTIONS IN GIS 21.5(2017):934-953.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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