New-type urbanization in China: Predicted trends and investment demand for 2015-2030
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Sun Dongqi1; Zhou Liang2; Li Yu1; Liu Haimeng1; Shen Xiaoyan3; Wang Zedong3; Wang Xixi3 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2017-08-01 |
| 卷号 | 27期号:8页码:943-966 |
| ISSN号 | 1009-637X |
| 关键词 | new-type urbanization urbanization investment 2015-2030 forecasting China |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11442-017-1414-4 |
| 通讯作者 | Li Yu(liy@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The future development of new-type urbanization has drawn great attention from both the government and public alike. In this context, the present study had three related research aims. Firstly, it sought to predict the urbanization and population dynamics in China at both national and provincial levels for the period of 2015 to 2030. Secondly, on this basis, it sought to examine the spatial variation of urbanization given the predicted national urbanization rate of 70.12%. Thirdly, it sought to estimate and evaluate the national and provincial demands of investment in the development of new-type urbanization. The main conclusions from this study were as follows: (1) The population size and urbanization rate will reach 1.445 billion and 70.12%, respectively, from 2015 to 2030. (2) The demographic dividend will vanish when the population pressure reaches its maximum. During this period, there will be 70.16 million urban population born. The suburban population that becomes urbanized will be 316.7 million, and thus the net increase in urban population will reach 386 million. (3) Although the urbanization rate of every Chinese province will increase during 2015-2030, it will do so unequally, while differences in urbanization quality among provinces will also be substantial. In some-provinces, moreover, the urbanization quality is not compatible with their eco-social development. (4) A total of 4,105,380 billion yuan is required to fund new-type urbanization and the investment demand for each province varies greatly; for example, Guangdong province requires the most funding, amounting to approximately 148 times that required by Tibet, the province in least need of funding. In the final part of this study, policy suggestions concerning the investment of the new-type urbanization are put forward and discussed. |
| WOS关键词 | QUALITY-OF-LIFE |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41501137] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41530634] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41271186] |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000401046200003 |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/64466]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Li Yu |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Lanzhou Jiaotong Univ, Fac Geomat, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China 3.Ludong Univ, Sch Resources & Environm Engn, Yantai 264025, Shandong, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sun Dongqi,Zhou Liang,Li Yu,et al. New-type urbanization in China: Predicted trends and investment demand for 2015-2030[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2017,27(8):943-966. |
| APA | Sun Dongqi.,Zhou Liang.,Li Yu.,Liu Haimeng.,Shen Xiaoyan.,...&Wang Xixi.(2017).New-type urbanization in China: Predicted trends and investment demand for 2015-2030.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,27(8),943-966. |
| MLA | Sun Dongqi,et al."New-type urbanization in China: Predicted trends and investment demand for 2015-2030".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 27.8(2017):943-966. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。