中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
A new method for assessing the risk of infectious disease outbreak

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Liao, Yilan2,3; Xu, Bing1,2,4; Wang, Jinfeng2,3; Liu, Xiaochi2,5
刊名SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
出版日期2017-01-09
卷号7页码:12
ISSN号2045-2322
DOI10.1038/srep40084
通讯作者Liao, Yilan(liaoyl@lreis.ac.cn)
英文摘要Over the past few years, emergent threats posed by infectious diseases and bioterrorism have become public health concerns that have increased the need for prompt disease outbreak warnings. In most of the existing disease surveillance systems, disease outbreak risk is assessed by the detection of disease outbreaks. However, this is a retrospective approach that impacts the timeliness of the warning. Some disease surveillance systems can predict the probabilities of infectious disease outbreaks in advance by determining the relationship between a disease outbreak and the risk factors. However, this process depends on the availability of risk factor data. In this article, we propose a Bayesian belief network (BBN) method to assess disease outbreak risks at different spatial scales based on cases or virus detection rates. Our experimental results show that this method is more accurate than traditional methods and can make uncertainty estimates, even when some data are unavailable.
WOS关键词CHINA ; SURVEILLANCE ; DEFECTS ; HESHUN ; SYSTEM
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[41101431] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41471377] ; Young Talent Fund of the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS[2012RC201]
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000391478800001
出版者NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Young Talent Fund of the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/65172]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Liao, Yilan
作者单位1.Sino Danish Ctr Educ & Res, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Key Lab Surveillance & Early Warning Infect Dis, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sino Danish Coll, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
5.China Univ Geosci, Sch Informat Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liao, Yilan,Xu, Bing,Wang, Jinfeng,et al. A new method for assessing the risk of infectious disease outbreak[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2017,7:12.
APA Liao, Yilan,Xu, Bing,Wang, Jinfeng,&Liu, Xiaochi.(2017).A new method for assessing the risk of infectious disease outbreak.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,7,12.
MLA Liao, Yilan,et al."A new method for assessing the risk of infectious disease outbreak".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 7(2017):12.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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