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Assessing the effects of the new-type urbanization policy on rural settlement evolution using a multi-agent model

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Lu, Yahan1,2; Song, Wei1; Lyu, Qianqian3,4
刊名HABITAT INTERNATIONAL
出版日期2022-09-01
卷号127页码:14
关键词Rural settlements New-type urbanization Multi-agent system (MAS) Jizhou district of tianjin
ISSN号0197-3975
DOI10.1016/j.habitatint.2022.102622
通讯作者Song, Wei(songw@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要Urbanization is an inevitable trend of modernization. In recent years, the Chinese government has proposed a new urbanization policy to accelerate the citizenization of the migrant agricultural population. The proposal of China's new urbanization strategy will inevitably cause the large-scale migration of China's urban and rural population, thus impacting the evolution patterns of China's rural settlements. To investigate the future evo-lution trends of rural settlement patterns against the background of new-type urbanization, we constructed a rural settlement multi-agent system (RSMAS) that can explicitly simulate the influences of government policies. In the model, we set four types of agents, including urban area, rural area, government, and peasant household. Through top-down control and bottom-up response, the model can reveal the mutual gaming relationships, influencing relationships, and feedback relationships among agents against the background of new-type ur-banization. Taking Jizhou District of Tianjin, which is one of the first pilot areas of new-type urbanization, as an example, we first simulated the changes of rural settlement patterns in Jizhou District from 2005 to 2015 using the RSMAS. The accuracy of the model simulation was 60.96%, indicating that the model has good reliability. Second, we predicted the impact of the new-type urbanization policy on the rural settlement patterns in Jizhou District in 2030, using 2015 as the starting year. The household registration system is no longer the key constraint to urbanization. The trend of the expansion of rural settlements has been effectively curbed after the implementation of new urbanization. In addition, government-led urbanization processes would increase the local financial burden. Therefore, we suggest that the government should effectively control these processes, activate the rural financial market, and promote the participation of local state-owned enterprises in financing.
WOS关键词AGENT-BASED MODEL ; HOUSING LAND TRANSITION ; MULTISCALE ANALYSIS ; RESIDENTIAL LAND ; URBAN EXPANSION ; BOHAI RIM ; CHINA ; ALLOCATION ; TRANSFORMATION ; EXTERNALITIES
资助项目Projects of National Natural Science Foundation of China[42071233] ; Projects of National Natural Science Foundation of China[41671177] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research[2019QZKK0603] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20040201]
WOS研究方向Development Studies ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public Administration ; Urban Studies
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000843653600002
出版者PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
资助机构Projects of National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/166604]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Song, Wei
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Sci Lib, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Dept Lib Informat & Arch Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Lu, Yahan,Song, Wei,Lyu, Qianqian. Assessing the effects of the new-type urbanization policy on rural settlement evolution using a multi-agent model[J]. HABITAT INTERNATIONAL,2022,127:14.
APA Lu, Yahan,Song, Wei,&Lyu, Qianqian.(2022).Assessing the effects of the new-type urbanization policy on rural settlement evolution using a multi-agent model.HABITAT INTERNATIONAL,127,14.
MLA Lu, Yahan,et al."Assessing the effects of the new-type urbanization policy on rural settlement evolution using a multi-agent model".HABITAT INTERNATIONAL 127(2022):14.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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