Urban spatial epidemic simulation model: A case study of the second COVID-19 outbreak in Beijing, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Huang, Qiang1,3; Liu, Qiyong4; Song, Ci1,3; Liu, Xiaobo4; Shu, Hua1,3; Wang, Xi1,3; Liu, Yaxi1,3; Chen, Xiao1,3; Chen, Jie1,3; Pei, Tao1,2,3 |
| 刊名 | TRANSACTIONS IN GIS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-10-08 |
| 页码 | 20 |
| ISSN号 | 1361-1682 |
| DOI | 10.1111/tgis.12850 |
| 通讯作者 | Pei, Tao(peit@lreis.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The second COVID-19 outbreak in Beijing was controlled by non-pharmaceutical interventions, which avoided a second pandemic. Until mass vaccination achieves herd immunity, cities are at risk of similar outbreaks. It is vital to quantify and simulate Beijing's non-pharmaceutical interventions to find effective intervention policies for the second outbreak. Few models have achieved accurate intra-city spatio-temporal epidemic spread simulation, and most modeling studies focused on the initial pandemic. We built a dynamic module of infected case movement within the city, and established an urban spatially epidemic simulation model (USESM), using mobile phone signaling data to create scenarios to assess the impact of interventions. We found that: (1) USESM simulated the transmission process of the epidemic within Beijing; (2) USESM showed the epidemic curve and presented the spatial distribution of epidemic spread on a map; and (3) to balance resources, interventions, and economic development, nucleic acid testing intensity could be increased and restrictions on human mobility in non-epidemic areas eased. |
| WOS关键词 | HUMAN MOBILITY ; TRANSMISSION |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41525004] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42071436] |
| WOS研究方向 | Geography |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000704861100001 |
| 出版者 | WILEY |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/166997]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Pei, Tao |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Reso, Nanjing, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, State Key Lab Infect Dis Prevent & Control,Collab, WHO Collaborating Ctr Vector Surveillance & Manag, Natl Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Huang, Qiang,Liu, Qiyong,Song, Ci,et al. Urban spatial epidemic simulation model: A case study of the second COVID-19 outbreak in Beijing, China[J]. TRANSACTIONS IN GIS,2021:20. |
| APA | Huang, Qiang.,Liu, Qiyong.,Song, Ci.,Liu, Xiaobo.,Shu, Hua.,...&Pei, Tao.(2021).Urban spatial epidemic simulation model: A case study of the second COVID-19 outbreak in Beijing, China.TRANSACTIONS IN GIS,20. |
| MLA | Huang, Qiang,et al."Urban spatial epidemic simulation model: A case study of the second COVID-19 outbreak in Beijing, China".TRANSACTIONS IN GIS (2021):20. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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