中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
The karst NDVI correlation with climate and its BAS-BP prediction based on multiple factors

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Ma, Yuju1; Zuo, Liyuan2,3; Gao, Jiangbo2; Liu, Qiang1; Liu, Lulu2
刊名ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
出版日期2021-12-01
卷号132页码:12
关键词Karst NDVI Climate impact BAS-BP prediction Spatial distribution Dynamic variation
ISSN号1470-160X
DOI10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108254
通讯作者Gao, Jiangbo(gaojiangbo@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要Karst vegetation (KV) is one of the most important indicators for maintaining the surface energy balance in southwestern China. The spatial pattern of KV is mainly affected by climate, human activities, and environmental factors. The relationships between the KV and these factors are complex and nonlinear. Most previous studies on the nonlinear relationship characteristics and regional regularity were not comprehensive. In this study, the correlation and the time-lagged response of KV to climatic factors were investigated using Pearson correlation analysis, and a nonlinear model of the relationships between the karst normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and multiple factors was built based on a back propagation neural network optimized using the beetle antennae search algorithm (BAS-BP), and then, the karst NDVI was predicted. The results showed that (1) in most karst regions, the seasonal NDVI was mainly influenced by temperature, but the autumn NDVI was mainly affected by precipitation. The correlation between the interannual variation in the NDVI and the interannual variation in the precipitation was higher than the correlation between the interannual variation in the NDVI and the interannual variation in temperature. The NDVI and the other climatic factors were not strongly correlated. The NDVI responded to the climatic factors with different time-lagged intervals in different spatiotemporal scales. (2) At multiple spatial scales, the mean correlation coefficient (R) and means squared error (MSE) values of the vegetation prediction in the different geomorphic areas were 0.6565 and 0.0072, respectively. The maximum R was up to 0.9059. In different lithology areas, the mean values of R and MSE were 0.6898 and 0.0072, respectively. The maximum R value was 0.9142. (3) The prediction model of the interannual variation in the NDVI was trained, and it was then tested for the validation period. The R values ranged from 0.5299 to 0.7744, with an average of 0.6606. In contrast to the prediction results on different spatial scales, the model's performance regarding the interannual variation in the NDVI was relatively poor. (4) The mean R values were 0.6708, 0.5575, and 0.5468 and the mean MSE values were 0.0067, 0.0084, and 0.0114 for the 1 km, 250 m, and 8 km NDVI resolution predictions, respectively. The obtained results showed that the model's performance regarding the NDVI prediction was better at a spatial resolution of 1 km than at spatial resolutions of 250 m and 8 km.
WOS关键词VEGETATION COVERAGE ; TIME SCALES ; RIVER-BASIN ; CHINA ; REGION ; DYNAMICS ; PROVINCE ; GUANGXI ; BALANCE ; IMPACT
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[42071288] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41671098] ; Programme of Kezhen-Bingwei Excellent Young Scientists of the Institute ofGeographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences[2020RC002]
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000710492300005
出版者ELSEVIER
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Programme of Kezhen-Bingwei Excellent Young Scientists of the Institute ofGeographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/167484]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Gao, Jiangbo
作者单位1.Ocean Univ China, Coll Engn, Qingdao 266100, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ma, Yuju,Zuo, Liyuan,Gao, Jiangbo,et al. The karst NDVI correlation with climate and its BAS-BP prediction based on multiple factors[J]. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,2021,132:12.
APA Ma, Yuju,Zuo, Liyuan,Gao, Jiangbo,Liu, Qiang,&Liu, Lulu.(2021).The karst NDVI correlation with climate and its BAS-BP prediction based on multiple factors.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,132,12.
MLA Ma, Yuju,et al."The karst NDVI correlation with climate and its BAS-BP prediction based on multiple factors".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 132(2021):12.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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