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Potential distribution and habitat suitability of Picea crassifolia with climate change scenarios

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Gao, Yuan1,2; He, Zhibin1; Zhu, Xi1; Chen, Longfei1; Du, Jun1; Lin, Pengfei1; Tian, Quanyan1; Kong, Junqia1,2
刊名CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH
出版日期2021-12-01
卷号51期号:12页码:1903-1915
ISSN号0045-5067
关键词Picea crassifolia climate change potential distribution habitat suitability MaxEnt
DOI10.1139/cjfr-2020-0507
通讯作者He, Zhibin(hzbmail@lzb.ac.cn)
英文摘要The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in China is a region strongly impacted by climate change, yet its effects on the keystone endemic forest species Picea crassifolia Kom. are unknown. Understanding the changes in potential distribution and habitat suitability of P. crassifolia forest with climate change will contribute to water conservation, forest management, and ecological protection in the upper reaches of the Yellow River. A total of 129 records of species distribution data and 19 environmental variables were chosen for modeling. The MaxEnt (maximum entropy) model was used to analyze the main environmental factors affecting the potential distribution of P. crassifolia in two periods (2050s and 2070s) and four representative emission pathways (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5). The main results are follows: (i) the most important environmental variables affecting distribution of P. crassifolia and percentage variance explained were altitude (41.85%), precipitation of driest month (19.76%), slope (12.35%), annual precipitation (6.56%), precipitation of wettest month (5.73%), and precipitation of warmest quarter (5.12%); (ii) habitat suitability of P. crassifolia shifted to the northwest and into high-altitude areas under climate change scenarios, but its core distribution areas were concentrated in northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, Qilian Mountains, southern Ningxia, and Helan Mountains; and (iii) the total area of potential suitable habitat of P. crassifolia will change significantly in the future, and change of habitat area of not suitable, low, moderate, and high suitability exceed 60%.
WOS关键词SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; NORTHWESTERN CHINA ; QILIAN MOUNTAINS ; MEDICINAL-PLANT ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; NICHE MODELS ; RANGE SHIFTS ; MAXENT ; EXTENSIONS
资助项目Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA23060301] ; Science and Technology Service Network Initiative of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[KFJ-STS-QYZD-175] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2019YFC0507403]
WOS研究方向Forestry
语种英语
出版者CANADIAN SCIENCE PUBLISHING
WOS记录号WOS:000733762200002
资助机构Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Science and Technology Service Network Initiative of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Key Research and Development Program of China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/170127]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者He, Zhibin
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Linze Inland River Basin Res Stn, Chinese Ecosyst Res Network,Key Lab Ecohydrol Inl, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Gao, Yuan,He, Zhibin,Zhu, Xi,et al. Potential distribution and habitat suitability of Picea crassifolia with climate change scenarios[J]. CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH,2021,51(12):1903-1915.
APA Gao, Yuan.,He, Zhibin.,Zhu, Xi.,Chen, Longfei.,Du, Jun.,...&Kong, Junqia.(2021).Potential distribution and habitat suitability of Picea crassifolia with climate change scenarios.CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH,51(12),1903-1915.
MLA Gao, Yuan,et al."Potential distribution and habitat suitability of Picea crassifolia with climate change scenarios".CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH 51.12(2021):1903-1915.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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