Low-Carbon Transformation of Electric System against Power Shortage in China: Policy Optimization
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wang, Bo1,2; Wang, Limao1,2; Zhong, Shuai1,2; Xiang, Ning1,2; Qu, Qiushi3 |
| 刊名 | ENERGIES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-02-01 |
| 卷号 | 15期号:4页码:18 |
| 关键词 | power shortage electric system installed capacity low-carbon transformation policy optimization |
| DOI | 10.3390/en15041574 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Limao(lmwang@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Zhong, Shuai(zhongshuai@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The low-carbon transition of the power system is essential for China to achieve peak carbon and carbon neutrality. However, China could suffer power shortages due to radical policies in some extreme cases. The gap between power demand and supply from March 2021 to November 2021 ranged between 5.2 billion kW center dot h and 24.6 billion kW center dot h. The main reason for the power shortage was over-reliance on renewable energy and insufficient coal power supply for the power system. The low-carbon transformation path of the electric system needs to be explored with more flexibility for power security. This study applied a modified LEAP model and carried out a forecast analysis of thermal power generation and installed capacity in 2025 and 2030 under normal and extreme weather scenarios. The results suggested that: the installed capacity of thermal power will need to account for about 44.6-46.1% of power generation in 2025 and 37.4-39.3% in 2030, with the assumption of power shortages caused by the instability and uncertainty of renewable power. In the future, China needs to pursue the development of diversified energy sources and enhance the power supply security capability while strengthening the development and utilization of renewable energy. |
| WOS关键词 | ENERGY SYSTEM ; WIND ; SOLAR ; DEMAND ; FORECAST |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971163] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42071281] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71991484] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71991480] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP)[2019QZKK1003] ; Humanities and Social Science Research Project of Hebei Education Department[SQ2021081] |
| WOS研究方向 | Energy & Fuels |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000762489200001 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ; Humanities and Social Science Research Project of Hebei Education Department |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/171239]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Limao; Zhong, Shuai |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Hebei Univ Geosci, Sch Econ, Shijiazhuang 050031, Hebei, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Bo,Wang, Limao,Zhong, Shuai,et al. Low-Carbon Transformation of Electric System against Power Shortage in China: Policy Optimization[J]. ENERGIES,2022,15(4):18. |
| APA | Wang, Bo,Wang, Limao,Zhong, Shuai,Xiang, Ning,&Qu, Qiushi.(2022).Low-Carbon Transformation of Electric System against Power Shortage in China: Policy Optimization.ENERGIES,15(4),18. |
| MLA | Wang, Bo,et al."Low-Carbon Transformation of Electric System against Power Shortage in China: Policy Optimization".ENERGIES 15.4(2022):18. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。