The Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa: Perspective from Panel Data Analysis
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Affoh, Raifatou3; Zheng, Haixia3; Dangui, Kokou2; Dissani, Badoubatoba Mathieu1 |
刊名 | SUSTAINABILITY
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出版日期 | 2022 |
卷号 | 14期号:2页码:22 |
关键词 | climate change food security sub-Saharan Africa PMG DOLS FMOLS |
DOI | 10.3390/su14020759 |
通讯作者 | Zheng, Haixia(zhenghaixia@caas.cn) |
英文摘要 | This study investigates the relationship between climate variables such as rainfall amount, temperature, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emission and the triple dimension of food security (availability, accessibility, and utilization) in a panel of 25 sub-Saharan African countries from 1985 to 2018. After testing for cross-sectional dependence, unit root and cointegration, the study estimated the pool mean group (PMG) panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL). The empirical outcome revealed that rainfall had a significantly positive effect on food availability, accessibility, and utilization in the long run. In contrast, temperature was harmful to food availability and accessibility and had no impact on food utilization. Lastly, CO2 emission positively impacted food availability and accessibility but did not affect food utilization. The study took a step further by integrating some additional variables and performed the panel fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) regression to ensure the robustness of the preceding PMG results. The control variables yielded meaningful results in most cases, so did the FMOLS and DOLS regression. The Granger causality test was conducted to determine the causal link, if any, among the variables. There was evidence of a short-run causal relationship between food availability and CO2 emission. Food accessibility exhibited a causal association with temperature, whereas food utilization was strongly connected with temperature. CO2 emission was linked to rainfall. Lastly, a bidirectional causal link was found between rainfall and temperature. Recommendations to the national, sub-regional, and regional policymakers are addressed and discussed. |
WOS关键词 | TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY ; EMPIRICAL-EVIDENCE ; COUNTRIES EVIDENCE ; ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; ELEVATED CO2 ; CROP YIELD ; LONG-RUN ; INFERENCE ; DROUGHT ; TESTS |
资助项目 | Science and Technology Innovation Project of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences[CAAS-ASTIP-2016-AII] ; National Food Security Strategy Research in the New Era[CAAS-ZDRW202012] |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000757566700001 |
出版者 | MDPI |
资助机构 | Science and Technology Innovation Project of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences ; National Food Security Strategy Research in the New Era |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/171285] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Zheng, Haixia |
作者单位 | 1.Capital Univ Econ & Business, Sch Econ, Beijing 100026, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Agr Informat Inst, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Affoh, Raifatou,Zheng, Haixia,Dangui, Kokou,et al. The Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa: Perspective from Panel Data Analysis[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2022,14(2):22. |
APA | Affoh, Raifatou,Zheng, Haixia,Dangui, Kokou,&Dissani, Badoubatoba Mathieu.(2022).The Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa: Perspective from Panel Data Analysis.SUSTAINABILITY,14(2),22. |
MLA | Affoh, Raifatou,et al."The Impact of Climate Variability and Change on Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa: Perspective from Panel Data Analysis".SUSTAINABILITY 14.2(2022):22. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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