Clarifying the Propagation Dynamics from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought Induced by Climate Change and Direct Human Activities
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Li, Ziyan2; Huang, Shengzhi2; Zhou, Shuai2; Leng, Guoyong1,3; Liu, Dengfeng2; Huang, Qiang2; Wang, Hao4; Han, Zhiming2; Liang, Hao2 |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY |
出版日期 | 2021-09-01 |
卷号 | 22期号:9页码:2359-2378 |
ISSN号 | 1525-755X |
关键词 | Rivers Drought Dynamics Statistics Time series Stochastic models |
DOI | 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0033.1 |
通讯作者 | Huang, Shengzhi(huangshengzhi7788@126.com) |
英文摘要 | An understanding of the propagation process from meteorological to hydrological drought contributes to accurate prediction of hydrological drought. However, the comprehensive influence of direct human activities involved in drought propagation is not well understood. In this study, an identification framework for drought propagation time was constructed to quantify the effects of direct human activities (i.e., reservoir storage, irrigation, industrial, domestic, and agricultural water consumption) on drought propagation. Subsequently, the effects of meteorological and underlying surface factors on the drought propagation process were clarified based on random forest method, and the driving effect of teleconnection factors was investigated from top to bottom. The Wei River basin (WRB), the largest tributary of the Yellow River basin, was selected as the case study. Results disclosed that the propagation time from meteorological to hydrological drought was short in summer (approximately 2 months) and autumn ( approximately 3 months), while long in spring (approximately 3-5 months) and winter (approximately 3-8 months), exhibiting noticeable spatial variability. In a changing environment, the propagation time generally showed a decreasing trend in spring and winter, while increasing propagation time was observed in summer and autumn. The dynamic drought propagation time of each season was all jointly controlled by the different extent variation of meteorological and underlying surface conditions, and the basic flow is all relatively significant throughout the period. Direct human activities had an effect on the seasonal dynamics of drought propagation, especially during the winter of the nonflood season, which alleviated the severity of winter hydrological drought to some extent, thus delaying the transmission of meteorological signals to hydrological systems. Sunspots, the dominant direct teleconnection driving force in the WRB, could indirectly affect the local precipitation and base flow in spring, autumn, and winter and interfere with the drought propagation process. This study sheds new insights into the attribution of drought propagation dynamics in a changing environment. |
WOS关键词 | RIVER-BASIN ; SPATIOTEMPORAL VARIATION ; STREAMFLOW DROUGHT ; IMPACT ; CHINA ; PRECIPITATION ; MACHINE ; SUPPORT ; YIELD |
资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC0405900] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[51709221] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[51779203] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1865102] |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000751676500007 |
资助机构 | National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/171327] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Huang, Shengzhi |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Oxford, Environm Change Inst, Oxford, England 2.Xian Univ Technol, State Key Lab Ecohydraul Northwest Arid Reg China, Xian 710048, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, State Key Lab Simulat & Regulat Water Cycle River, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Ziyan,Huang, Shengzhi,Zhou, Shuai,et al. Clarifying the Propagation Dynamics from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought Induced by Climate Change and Direct Human Activities[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY,2021,22(9):2359-2378. |
APA | Li, Ziyan.,Huang, Shengzhi.,Zhou, Shuai.,Leng, Guoyong.,Liu, Dengfeng.,...&Liang, Hao.(2021).Clarifying the Propagation Dynamics from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought Induced by Climate Change and Direct Human Activities.JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY,22(9),2359-2378. |
MLA | Li, Ziyan,et al."Clarifying the Propagation Dynamics from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought Induced by Climate Change and Direct Human Activities".JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY 22.9(2021):2359-2378. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。