中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
首页 机构 成果 学者
  
  1. CAS IR Grid
  2. 地理科学与资源研究所
  3. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Future potential distribution and expansion trends of highland barley under climate change in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau (QTP)

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Yin, Yuanyuan1,2,3; Wang, Jing'ai4; Leng, Guoyong5; Zhao, Jintao6; Wang, Lei2,3; Ma, Weidong4
刊名ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
出版日期2022-03-01
卷号136页码:11
关键词Highland barley Climate warming Habitat degradation expansion MaxEnt model Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
ISSN号1470-160X
DOI10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108702
通讯作者Yin, Yuanyuan(yinyy@itpcas.ac.cn) ; Wang, Lei(wanglei@itpcas.ac.cn)
英文摘要Highland barley is an important grain crop in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) of China. However, rare knowledge is available on the spatial pattern of habitat suitability across QTP and how it would be affected by future climate change. Based on 191 presence records, the probability of highland barley across the QTP under climate change is simulated by using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model. And the critical environmental variable (s) affecting the distribution of highland barley and the hotspots of habitat degradation/expansion during the 21st century are investigated. The results show that the daily minimum temperature of coldest month and annual precipitation are determined as the two most important environmental variables for predicting habitat distributions. Across the QTP, future climate change may result in an increase in the suitable area for planting highland barley northward, westward, and upward during the 21st century. Highland barley in river valleys of the southeastern and northeast plateau, where areas of medium and optimal suitable habitats are concentrated, may experience contractions in areas of habitat suitability during the 21st century. By the late 21st century, the average expansion and contraction of suitable habitat areas are 0.46 and 0.14 million km2, respectively, and the upper limit elevation suitable for planting barley may increase by 215 m. Our results could provide valuable distribution information to the national and local administrators for developing the special industry of highland barley in the QTP.
WOS关键词GEOGRAPHICAL-DISTRIBUTION ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; TEMPERATURE ; MAXENT ; MODEL ; PREDICTION ; CHINA
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[41901046] ; Sceond Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program[2019QZKK020604]
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000761394000003
出版者ELSEVIER
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Sceond Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/171801]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Yin, Yuanyuan; Wang, Lei
作者单位1.Beijing Union Univ, Beijing 100011, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Qinghai Normal Univ, Acad Plateau Sci & Sustainabil, Xining 810016, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
6.Langfang Normal Univ, Fac Econ & Management, Langfang 065000, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Yin, Yuanyuan,Wang, Jing'ai,Leng, Guoyong,et al. Future potential distribution and expansion trends of highland barley under climate change in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau (QTP)[J]. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,2022,136:11.
APA Yin, Yuanyuan,Wang, Jing'ai,Leng, Guoyong,Zhao, Jintao,Wang, Lei,&Ma, Weidong.(2022).Future potential distribution and expansion trends of highland barley under climate change in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau (QTP).ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,136,11.
MLA Yin, Yuanyuan,et al."Future potential distribution and expansion trends of highland barley under climate change in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau (QTP)".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 136(2022):11.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本

除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。