Forecasting 100-year changes of streamflow in the Mun River Basin (NE Thailand) under the HAPPI experiment using the SWAT model
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Bridhikitti, Arika2,3; Ketuthong, Arocha3; Prabumroong, Thayukorn4; Li Renzhi1; Li Jing1; Liu Gaohuan1 |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
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出版日期 | 2022-03-18 |
页码 | 18 |
关键词 | HAPPI IPCC AR6 Lower Mekong River MIROC5 Mun River SWAT |
ISSN号 | 2040-2244 |
DOI | 10.2166/wcc.2022.358 |
通讯作者 | Bridhikitti, Arika(arika.bri@mahidol.edu) |
英文摘要 | The Lower Mekong River is one of the significant rivers nurturing people on the Southeast Asian mainland. Its tributaries include the Mun River (NE Thailand), which often experiences extreme water events. In this study, the streamflow change in the year 2115 was simulated by relying on the Half-a-Degree Additional Warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts (HAPPI) experiment and the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate, version 5 (MIROC5) climate model for average global warming of 1.5 degrees C (Plus1.5) and 2.0 degrees C (Plus2.0) above pre-industrial levels and compared with the base year in 2015 for the Mun River Basin. The Soil-Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used for the streamflow simulation. The results showed an increasing air temperature against lowering rainfall and relative humidity (except for the post-monsoon months), suggesting overall rain suppression in response to the warming climate. The median projected annual streamflow to the Mekong River in 2115 decreased for both 'Plus1.5' (-32.5%, median) and 'Plus2.0' (-23.1%, median). However, increasing annual streamflow could be found only in the middle part. Seasonal streamflow changes revealed a different spatiotemporal response to climate change resulting in inconsistent streamflow changes across the basin. The adaptive measures for the middle part should be focused on flooding control, whereas the upper and the lower parts should be against drought. |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MEKONG ; PROJECTIONS ; UNCERTAINTY ; HYDROLOGY ; RAINFALL ; IMPACTS ; HAZARD ; TRENDS |
资助项目 | National Research Committee of Thailand ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41661144030] |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000770351800001 |
出版者 | IWA PUBLISHING |
资助机构 | National Research Committee of Thailand ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/172495] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Bridhikitti, Arika |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Mahidol Univ, Earth Sci Res Cluster, Kanchanaburi Campus,199 Moo 9, Saiyok Dist 71150, Kanchanaburi, Thailand 3.Mahidol Univ, Environm Engn & Disaster Management Program, Sch Interdisciplinary Studies, Kanchanaburi Campus,199 Moo 9, Saiyok Dist 71150, Kanchanaburi, Thailand 4.Mahasarakham Univ, Fac Environm & Resource Studies, Kantarawichai Dist 44150, Mahasarakham, Thailand |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bridhikitti, Arika,Ketuthong, Arocha,Prabumroong, Thayukorn,et al. Forecasting 100-year changes of streamflow in the Mun River Basin (NE Thailand) under the HAPPI experiment using the SWAT model[J]. JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,2022:18. |
APA | Bridhikitti, Arika,Ketuthong, Arocha,Prabumroong, Thayukorn,Li Renzhi,Li Jing,&Liu Gaohuan.(2022).Forecasting 100-year changes of streamflow in the Mun River Basin (NE Thailand) under the HAPPI experiment using the SWAT model.JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,18. |
MLA | Bridhikitti, Arika,et al."Forecasting 100-year changes of streamflow in the Mun River Basin (NE Thailand) under the HAPPI experiment using the SWAT model".JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE (2022):18. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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