Deficiencies of Phenology Models in Simulating Spatial and Temporal Variations in Temperate Spring Leaf Phenology
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Li, Shihua1,2; Wang, Yingping3; Ciais, Philippe4; Sitch, Stephen5; Sato, Hisashi6; Shen, Miaogen7; Chen, Xiuzhi1,2; Ito, Akihiko8; Wu, Chaoyang9; Kucharik, Christopher J.10 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-03-01 |
| 卷号 | 127期号:3页码:15 |
| 关键词 | budburst date leaf unfolding date phenology model chilling accumulation growing degree-day temperature sensitivity |
| ISSN号 | 2169-8953 |
| DOI | 10.1029/2021JG006421 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, Shihua(lishh25@mail2.sysu.edu.cn) ; Yuan, Wenping(yuanwpcn@126.com) |
| 英文摘要 | Spring leaf phenology and its response to climate change have crucial effects on surface albedo, carbon balance, and the water cycle of terrestrial ecosystems. Based on long-term (period 1963-2014) in situ observations of budburst date and leaf unfolding date of more than 300 deciduous woody species from 32 sites across the temperate zone in China, we conducted model-data comparison of spatial and temporal variations for spring leaf phenology calculated using the phenology modules that were embed into 10 existing terrestrial ecosystem models. Our results suggested that ORganizing Carbon and Hydrology in Dynamic EcosystEms and Spatially Explicit Individual-Based performed the best in reproducing the spatial patterns of spring leaf phenology, but tended to underestimate the temporal variations in responding to temperature warming, showing low interannual variability (IAV) and temperature sensitivity (S-T). In contrast, the performances of Vegetation Integrated SImulator for Trace Gases were the best in modeling IAV and S-T. BIOME3, Lund-Potsdam-Jena model, Joint UK Land Environment Simulator, BioGeochemical Cycles, Community Land Model, Integrated Biosphere Simulator, and Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange Model failed to reproduce both the spatial and temporal patterns. Using temperature series (1960-2100) form Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Number 6 scenarios to force the 10 phenology modules, our results highlighted large uncertainties in predicting spring leaf phenology changes with the warming climate, and more work is required to deal with the deficiencies of phenology model parameters and algorithms. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CARBON UPTAKE ; GREEN-UP ; VEGETATION ; BUDBURST ; DATE ; PRECIPITATION ; SENSITIVITY ; PREDICTION ; FEEDBACKS |
| 资助项目 | National Key Basic Research Program of China[2018YFA0606104] ; National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars[41925001] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[19lgjc02] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[18lgpy09] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000777487700017 |
| 出版者 | AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION |
| 资助机构 | National Key Basic Research Program of China ; National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/173874]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, Shihua; Yuan, Wenping |
| 作者单位 | 1.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Atmospher Sci, Zhuhai, Peoples R China 2.Southern Marine Sci & Engn Guangdong Lab, Zhuhai, Peoples R China 3.CSIRO, Dept Oceans & Atmosphere, Aspendale, Vic, Australia 4.CEA CNRS UVSQ, Lab Sci Climat & Environm LSCE, Gif Sur Yvette, France 5.Univ Exeter, Dept Geog, Coll Life & Environm Sci, Exeter, Devon, England 6.Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan 7.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China 8.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan 9.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China 10.Univ Wisconsin, Dept Agron, 1575 Linden Dr, Madison, WI 53706 USA |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Shihua,Wang, Yingping,Ciais, Philippe,et al. Deficiencies of Phenology Models in Simulating Spatial and Temporal Variations in Temperate Spring Leaf Phenology[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES,2022,127(3):15. |
| APA | Li, Shihua.,Wang, Yingping.,Ciais, Philippe.,Sitch, Stephen.,Sato, Hisashi.,...&Yuan, Wenping.(2022).Deficiencies of Phenology Models in Simulating Spatial and Temporal Variations in Temperate Spring Leaf Phenology.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES,127(3),15. |
| MLA | Li, Shihua,et al."Deficiencies of Phenology Models in Simulating Spatial and Temporal Variations in Temperate Spring Leaf Phenology".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES 127.3(2022):15. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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