Future climate change impacts on mulched maize production in an arid irrigation area
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Quan, Hao2,3; Ding, Dianyuan4; Wu, Lihong2,3; Qiao, Ruonan2,3; Dong, Qin'ge3,5; Zhang, Tibin3,5; Feng, Hao3,5; Wu, Lianhai6; Siddique, Kadambot H. M.1,7 |
| 刊名 | AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-05-31 |
| 卷号 | 266页码:17 |
| ISSN号 | 0378-3774 |
| 关键词 | Arid irrigated agriculture Modified crop model Future climate change Plastic film mulching |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.agwat.2022.107550 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Tibin(zhangtibin@163.com) ; Feng, Hao(nercwsi@vip.sina.com) |
| 英文摘要 | Future climate change (FCC) and water scarcity significantly affect agricultural production in arid areas. Plastic film mulching (PM) combined with large irrigation amounts is popular for agricultural production in these areas. Crop model is an important tool for studying FCC's effect on crop production and its countermeasures. In this study, after calibration and validation using measured values from a two-year field experiment, the SPACSYS (v 6.0) and modified DSSAT-CERES-Maize (v 4.7.0.0) models were used to evaluate the implementation of six management systems (three mulching measures: transparent film, black film, no film; two fertilization levels: high, low) and to optimize management measures under FCC. Both models well simulated maize's anthesis and maturity dates, the final aboveground biomass, yield, and topsoil soil water content (SWC) compared with the measured values. SPACSYS simulated the maize growth and SWC under nitrogen stress better than DSSAT. Total 27 global climate models (GCMs) were used to drive DSSAT and SPACSYS models with different irrigation schemes, including three irrigation amounts (I1, I2, I3) and four irrigation ratios (the proportion of total irrigation amount in different growing stages: T1, T2, T3, T4) to simulate crop phenology and yield under FCC in future decades (2040s and 2080s). Both models advanced the anthesis date (by 8.1-16.2 d in the 2040s and 12.8-20.3 d in the 2080s), maturity date (by 12.7-18.9 d in the 2040s and 19.1-24.8 d in the 2080s), and length of reproductive growth period (by 3.6-6.1 d in the 2040s and 5.8-11.0 d in the 2080s). The I1T1 scenario under transparent film mulching produced the highest yields (12.14-16.07% in the 2040s and 5.36-6.07% in the 2080s higher than the average). The I3T4 scenario maintained stable yields in the 2040s, decreasing by nearly 20% in the 2080s. Consequently, the I3T4 scenario could be the optimal management practice for balancing yield and irrigation for maize production in this arid area in the future decades. |
| WOS关键词 | WATER-USE EFFICIENCY ; NORTH CHINA PLAIN ; DSSAT CROP MODELS ; CERES-MAIZE ; ECONOMIC RETURNS ; ROTATION SYSTEM ; SOLAR-RADIATION ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; WHEAT-MAIZE ; YIELD |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[51879224] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[51609237] ; Key R&D projects of Shaanxi Province[2019NY-190] ; 111 Project[NE/S009094/1] ; Natural Environment Research Council |
| WOS研究方向 | Agriculture ; Water Resources |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000793224400005 |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key R&D projects of Shaanxi Province ; 111 Project ; Natural Environment Research Council |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/176435]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Tibin; Feng, Hao |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Western Australia, UWA Inst Agr, Perth, WA 6001, Australia 2.Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Water Resources & Architectural Engn, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 3.Northwest A&F Univ, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 4.Yangzhou Univ, Coll Hydraul Sci & Engn, Yangzhou 225009, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci & Minist Water Resources, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 6.Rothamsted Res, Sustainable Agr Sci, Okehampton EX20 2SB, Devon, England 7.Univ Western Australia, Sch Agr & Environm, Perth, WA 6001, Australia |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Quan, Hao,Ding, Dianyuan,Wu, Lihong,et al. Future climate change impacts on mulched maize production in an arid irrigation area[J]. AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT,2022,266:17. |
| APA | Quan, Hao.,Ding, Dianyuan.,Wu, Lihong.,Qiao, Ruonan.,Dong, Qin'ge.,...&Siddique, Kadambot H. M..(2022).Future climate change impacts on mulched maize production in an arid irrigation area.AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT,266,17. |
| MLA | Quan, Hao,et al."Future climate change impacts on mulched maize production in an arid irrigation area".AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT 266(2022):17. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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