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Quantifying risk factors and potential geographic extent of African swine fever across the world

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Jiang, Dong3,8; Ma, Tian3,8; Hao, Mengmeng3,8; Ding, Fangyu3,8; Sun, Kai3,8; Wang, Qian2; Kang, Tingting1; Wang, Di3,8; Zhao, Shen8; Li, Meng6
刊名PLOS ONE
出版日期2022
卷号17期号:4页码:12
ISSN号1932-6203
DOI10.1371/journal.pone.0267128
通讯作者Ding, Fangyu(dingfy@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Chen, Shuai(chens.20b@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Li, Yin(yin.li@csiro.au)
英文摘要African swine fever (ASF) has spread to many countries in Africa, Europe and Asia in the past decades. However, the potential geographic extent of ASF infection is unknown. Here we combined a modeling framework with the assembled contemporary records of ASF cases and multiple covariates to predict the risk distribution of ASF at a global scale. Local spatial variations in ASF risk derived from domestic pigs is influenced strongly by livestock factors, while the risk of having ASF in wild boars is mainly associated with natural habitat covariates. The risk maps show that ASF is to be ubiquitous in many areas, with a higher risk in areas in the northern hemisphere. Nearly half of the world's domestic pigs (1.388 billion) are in the high-risk zones. Our results provide a better understanding of the potential distribution beyond the current geographical scope of the disease.
WOS关键词MOLECULAR CHARACTERIZATION ; VISCERAL LEISHMANIASIS ; GLOBAL DISTRIBUTION ; RUSSIAN-FEDERATION ; AVIAN INFLUENZA ; SOFT TICKS ; VIRUS ; INFECTION ; CHINA ; PIGS
资助项目Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040305]
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
出版者PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE
WOS记录号WOS:000795468200068
资助机构Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/178190]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Ding, Fangyu; Chen, Shuai; Li, Yin
作者单位1.Peking Univ, Sch Urban Planning & Design, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Shenzhen, Guangdong, Peoples R China
2.Univ Oxford, Ctr Trop Med & Global Hlth, Nuffield Dept Med, Oxford, England
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Comp Network Informat Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China
5.CSIRO, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
6.Nantong Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Nantong, Peoples R China
7.Murdoch Univ, Ctr Biosecur & One Hlth, Sch Vet Med, Perth, WA, Australia
8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Jiang, Dong,Ma, Tian,Hao, Mengmeng,et al. Quantifying risk factors and potential geographic extent of African swine fever across the world[J]. PLOS ONE,2022,17(4):12.
APA Jiang, Dong.,Ma, Tian.,Hao, Mengmeng.,Ding, Fangyu.,Sun, Kai.,...&Li, Yin.(2022).Quantifying risk factors and potential geographic extent of African swine fever across the world.PLOS ONE,17(4),12.
MLA Jiang, Dong,et al."Quantifying risk factors and potential geographic extent of African swine fever across the world".PLOS ONE 17.4(2022):12.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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