Linear and nonlinear causal relationships between the dry/wet conditions and teleconnection indices in the Yangtze River basin
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Yang, Peng1,2,4; Wang, Wenyu1; Xia, Jun2; Zhang, Yongyong3; Zhan, Chesheng3; Zhang, Shengqing1; Chen, Nengcheng4; Luo, Xiangang1; Li, Jiang5 |
刊名 | ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH |
出版日期 | 2022-09-01 |
卷号 | 275页码:12 |
ISSN号 | 0169-8095 |
关键词 | Teleconnection indices Yangtze River basin Wet and dry changes Causality |
DOI | 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106249 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Yongyong(zhangyy003@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
英文摘要 | Global precipitation has undergone significant changes due to climate change, resulting in extreme drought and flood events and remarkable losses of life and property. Therefore, based on precipitation and temperature data for the Yangtze River Basin (YRB), as well as teleconnection indices (i.e., Nino3.4, North Pacific Index [NPI], Southern Oscillation Indices [SOI], and Pacific Decadal Oscillation [PDO]), the causal relationship between the teleconnection indices and the dry/wet changes was analyzed and explored using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) from 1961 to 2018. Based on the findings, precipitation significantly increased in the upper and lower reaches of the YRB, with a maximum increase of 8 mm/a, and decreased in the middle reaches, with a maximum decrease of 4 mm/a. Further, the temperature in the entire YRB increased, with a maximum increase of 0.04 degrees C/a. The drought characteristics derived from SPI in the YRB were more uniform in spatial distribution from 1961 to 2018, with small local differences and the largest proportion of mild droughts in different drought classes; however, for those from SPEI in the YRB, local differences in spatial distribution and the largest proportion of moderate droughts in different drought classes were found. Finally, both linear and nonlinear causality between the teleconnection indices and the wet/dry changes in the YRB were significant to some extent, especially for NAO, Nino 3.4, and PDO. These causalities between the wet/dry changes and the teleconnection indices were also more significant for short periods. Related studies are important for assessing the driving forces of dry-wet changes in the YRB. |
WOS关键词 | TEMPORAL VARIABILITY ; GRANGER CAUSALITY ; TREND TEST ; PRECIPITATION ; ENSO ; DROUGHT ; IMPACTS ; EVENTS ; GROWTH ; CHINA |
资助项目 | Open Fund of National Engineering Research Center for Geographic Information System, China University of Geosciences, Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA23040504] ; Visiting Researcher Fund Program of State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science[2020SWG01] |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000806016300002 |
资助机构 | Open Fund of National Engineering Research Center for Geographic Information System, China University of Geosciences, Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Visiting Researcher Fund Program of State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/178929] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Yongyong |
作者单位 | 1.China Univ Geosci, Sch Geog & Informat Engn, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China 2.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn Sc, Wuhan 430000, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.China Univ Geosci, Natl Engn Res Ctr Geog Informat Syst, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China 5.Dept Nat Resources Hubei Prov, Informat Ctr, Wuhan 430071, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang, Peng,Wang, Wenyu,Xia, Jun,et al. Linear and nonlinear causal relationships between the dry/wet conditions and teleconnection indices in the Yangtze River basin[J]. ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,2022,275:12. |
APA | Yang, Peng.,Wang, Wenyu.,Xia, Jun.,Zhang, Yongyong.,Zhan, Chesheng.,...&Li, Jiang.(2022).Linear and nonlinear causal relationships between the dry/wet conditions and teleconnection indices in the Yangtze River basin.ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,275,12. |
MLA | Yang, Peng,et al."Linear and nonlinear causal relationships between the dry/wet conditions and teleconnection indices in the Yangtze River basin".ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 275(2022):12. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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