Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Geng, Wenliang2; Li, Yanyan2; Sun, Dongqi1; Li, Bin2; Zhang, Pengyan2; Chang, Hao2; Rong, Tianqi2; Liu, Ying2; Shao, Jingwen2; Liu, Zhenyue2 |
| 刊名 | PLOS ONE
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-03-31 |
| 卷号 | 17期号:3页码:21 |
| ISSN号 | 1932-6203 |
| DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0262540 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, Bin(libin@henu.edu.cn) ; Zhang, Pengyan(pengyanzh@126.com) |
| 英文摘要 | Climate is a dominant factor affecting the potential geographical distribution of species. Understanding the impact of climate change on the potential geographic distribution of species, which is of great significance to the exploitation, utilization, and protection of resources, as well as ecologically sustainable development. Betula platyphylla Suk. is one of the most widely distributed temperate deciduous tree species in East Asia and has important economic and ecological value. Based on 231 species distribution data points of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China and 37 bioclimatic, soil, and topography variables (with correlation coefficients < 0.75), the potential geographical distribution pattern of Betula platyphylla Suk. under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) climate change scenarios at present and in the 2050s and 2070s was predicted using the MaxEnt model. We analyzed the main environmental variables affecting the distribution and change of suitable areas and compared the scope and change of suitable areas under different climate scenarios. This study found: (1) At present, the main suitable area for Betula platyphylla Suk. extends from northeastern to southwestern China, with the periphery area showing fragmented distribution. (2) Annual precipitation, precipitation of the warmest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, annual mean temperature, and precipitation of the driest month are the dominant environmental variables that affect the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. (3) The suitable area for Betula platyphylla Suk. is expected to expand under global warming scenarios. In recent years, due to the impact of diseases and insect infestation, and environmental damage, the natural Betula platyphylla Suk. forest in China has gradually narrowed. This study accurately predicted the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. under current and future climate change scenarios, which can provide the scientific basis for the cultivation, management, and sustainable utilization of Betula platyphylla Suk. resources. |
| WOS关键词 | SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; GENETIC-STRUCTURE ; MEDICINAL-PLANT ; FUTURE ; FOREST ; IMPACTS ; MAXIMUM ; CARBON ; L. |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41601175] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41801362] ; 2018 Young Backbone Teachers Foundation from Henan Province[2018GGJS019] ; Program for Innovative Research Talent in University of Henan Province[20HASTIT017] ; Key R&D and extension projects in Henan Province in 2021 (agriculture and social development field)[202102310339] ; Innovation Team Cultivation Project of The First-class Discipline in Henan University[2018YLTD16] |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000799828800007 |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; 2018 Young Backbone Teachers Foundation from Henan Province ; Program for Innovative Research Talent in University of Henan Province ; Key R&D and extension projects in Henan Province in 2021 (agriculture and social development field) ; Innovation Team Cultivation Project of The First-class Discipline in Henan University |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/179721]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, Bin; Zhang, Pengyan |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Henan Univ, Coll Environm & Planning, Res Ctr Reg Dev & Planning, Inst Agr & Rural Sustainable Dev,Key Lab Geospati, Kaifeng, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Geng, Wenliang,Li, Yanyan,Sun, Dongqi,et al. Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios[J]. PLOS ONE,2022,17(3):21. |
| APA | Geng, Wenliang.,Li, Yanyan.,Sun, Dongqi.,Li, Bin.,Zhang, Pengyan.,...&Zhang, Jinbing.(2022).Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios.PLOS ONE,17(3),21. |
| MLA | Geng, Wenliang,et al."Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios".PLOS ONE 17.3(2022):21. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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