Water use trend analysis: A non-parametric method for the environmental Kuznets curve detection
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Sun, Siao; Fang, Chuanglin |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
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出版日期 | 2018-01-20 |
卷号 | 172页码:497-507 |
关键词 | Economic development Environmental Kuznets curve Inverted-U shape Mann-Kendall method Trend analysis Water use |
ISSN号 | 0959-6526 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.10.212 |
通讯作者 | Sun, Siao(suns@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
英文摘要 | Understanding of the trend in water use with possible relation to economic development is essential for forecasting future water demand and developing response strategies. The environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis asserts that pollution emissions and natural resource use often follow an inverted-U shape. This paper develops a piecewise Mann-Kendall method to address inverted-U shape detection based on a non-parametric approach. P-values of the piecewise Mann-Kendall method statistic are identified using the exhaustion method, approximation method or analytic method, depending on the data size. Tests of the piecewise Mann-Kendall method on synthetic data indicate that the developed method provides reasonable type I error and power. The method is successfully applied to pattern detection in real water use. Water uses in a few countries and provinces in China present the environmental Kuznets curve. Unlike the traditional parametric quadratic regression method which is sensitive to data skewness, this non-parametric method offers consistent environmental Kuznets curve detection regardless of the original or logarithmic form of data being used. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
WOS关键词 | ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; MANN-KENDALL ; QUALITY ; CHINA ; TESTS ; PART |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)[41590842] |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000423001900046 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/56916] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Sun, Siao |
作者单位 | Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resource Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sun, Siao,Fang, Chuanglin. Water use trend analysis: A non-parametric method for the environmental Kuznets curve detection[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2018,172:497-507. |
APA | Sun, Siao,&Fang, Chuanglin.(2018).Water use trend analysis: A non-parametric method for the environmental Kuznets curve detection.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,172,497-507. |
MLA | Sun, Siao,et al."Water use trend analysis: A non-parametric method for the environmental Kuznets curve detection".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 172(2018):497-507. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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