Spatiotemporal Analysis of Men Who Have Sex With Men in Mainland China: Social App Capture-Recapture Method
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Hu, Maogui; Xu, Chengdong; Wang, Jinfeng |
刊名 | JMIR MHEALTH AND UHEALTH
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出版日期 | 2020-01-24 |
卷号 | 8期号:1页码:13 |
关键词 | HIV risk men who have sex with men MSM distribution migration |
ISSN号 | 2291-5222 |
DOI | 10.2196/14800 |
通讯作者 | Wang, Jinfeng(wangjf@lreis.ac.cn) |
英文摘要 | Background: In China, the cases of newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS in men who have sex with men (MSM) have increased more than tenfold since 2006. However, the MSM population size, geographical distribution, and migration patterns are largely unknown. Objective: Our aim is to estimate the number, spatial distribution, and migration of MSM populations in mainland China using big data from social networking. Methods: We collected 85 days of data on online users of a social networking MSM app in mainland China. Daily online MSM users and their migration across the country were investigated during a holiday period and a nonholiday period. Using the capture-mark-recapture model, we designed an experiment consisting of two independent samples to estimate the total provincial MSM population. Results: The estimate of MSM in mainland China was 8,288,536 (95% CI 8,274,931-8,302,141), accounting for 1.732% (95% CI 1.729%-1.734%) of adult men aged 18 to 64 years. The average daily number of MSM social networking online across mainland China was 1,198,682 during the nonholiday period. The five provinces (including municipalities) with the highest average number of daily online MSM numbers were Guangdong (n=141,712), Jiangsu (n=90,710), Zhejiang (n=72,212), Shandong (n=68,065), and Beijing (n=66,057). The proportion of daily online MSM among adult men in different cities varied from 0.04% to 0.96%, with a mean of 0.20% (SD 0.14%). Three migrating centers-Guangdong, Beijing, and the Yangtze River Delta (Shanghai-Zhejiang-Jiangsu)-accounted for 57.23% of MSM migrants in the county. Conclusions: The percentage of MSM among adult men in mainland China is at the middle level compared with other Asia and Pacific countries. However, the number of MSM is very large, and the distribution is uneven. Both MSM distribution and migration are highly affected by socioeconomic status. |
WOS关键词 | POPULATION-SIZE ; EPIDEMIOLOGY ; HIV/AIDS ; HEALTH |
资助项目 | National Science and Technology Major Project[2017ZX10201302] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41771434] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41531179] ; Innovation Project of the State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System[O88RA200YA] |
WOS研究方向 | Health Care Sciences & Services ; Medical Informatics |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000509537200001 |
出版者 | JMIR PUBLICATIONS, INC |
资助机构 | National Science and Technology Major Project ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Innovation Project of the State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/131268] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Wang, Jinfeng |
作者单位 | Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hu, Maogui,Xu, Chengdong,Wang, Jinfeng. Spatiotemporal Analysis of Men Who Have Sex With Men in Mainland China: Social App Capture-Recapture Method[J]. JMIR MHEALTH AND UHEALTH,2020,8(1):13. |
APA | Hu, Maogui,Xu, Chengdong,&Wang, Jinfeng.(2020).Spatiotemporal Analysis of Men Who Have Sex With Men in Mainland China: Social App Capture-Recapture Method.JMIR MHEALTH AND UHEALTH,8(1),13. |
MLA | Hu, Maogui,et al."Spatiotemporal Analysis of Men Who Have Sex With Men in Mainland China: Social App Capture-Recapture Method".JMIR MHEALTH AND UHEALTH 8.1(2020):13. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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