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Spatial-temporal heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease and impact of meteorological factors in arid/ semi-arid regions: a case study in Ningxia, China

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Li, Jie6,7; Zhang, Xiangxue1,5; Wang, Li2,3; Xu, Chengdong1; Xiao, Gexin4; Wang, Ran7; Zheng, Fang6,7; Wang, Fang6,7
刊名BMC PUBLIC HEALTH
出版日期2019-11-08
卷号19期号:1页码:11
关键词Hand Foot and mouth disease Spatial-temporal variation GeoDetector Bayesian space-time hierarchical model Ningxia
DOI10.1186/s12889-019-7758-1
通讯作者Xu, Chengdong(xucd@lreis.ac.cn) ; Xiao, Gexin(biocomputer@126.com)
英文摘要BackgroundThe incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) varies over space and time and this variability is related to climate and social-economic factors. Majority of studies on HFMD were carried out in humid regions while few have focused on the disease in arid/semi-arid regions, more research in such climates would potentially make the mechanism of HFMD transmission clearer under different climate conditions.MethodsIn this paper, we explore spatial-temporal distribution of HFMD in Ningxia province, which has an arid/semi-arid climate in northwest China. We first employed a Bayesian space-time hierarchy model (BSTHM) to assess the spatial-temporal heterogeneity of the HFMD cases and its relationship with meteorological factors in Ningxia from 2009 to 2013, then used a novel spatial statistical software package GeoDetector to test the spatial-temporal heterogeneity of HFMD risk.ResultsThe results showed that the spatial relative risks in northern part of Ningxia were higher than those in the south. The highest temporal risk of HFMD incidence was in fall season, with a secondary peak in spring. Meteorological factors, such as average temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed played significant roles in the spatial-temporal distribution of HFMD risk.ConclusionsThe study provide valuable information on HFMD distribution in arid/semi-arid areas in northwest China and facilitate understanding of the concentration of HFMD.
WOS关键词RISK ; MODEL ; HFMD ; EPIDEMIOLOGY ; TEMPERATURE
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[41601419] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41531179] ; Ningxia Key RD Project (Special Project for Foreign Cooperation) Western Light Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences Research and Demonstration on Key Technologies of Early Warning and Forecasting of Regional Major Infectious Diseases under Different Env ; Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA205YA]
WOS研究方向Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
语种英语
出版者BMC
WOS记录号WOS:000496432200001
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Ningxia Key RD Project (Special Project for Foreign Cooperation) Western Light Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences Research and Demonstration on Key Technologies of Early Warning and Forecasting of Regional Major Infectious Diseases under Different Env ; Innovation Project of LREIS
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/131926]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Xu, Chengdong; Xiao, Gexin
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Henan Univ, Coll Environm & Planning, Kaifeng 475001, Peoples R China
3.Henan Univ, Key Lab Geospatial Technol Middle & Lower Yellow, Minist Educ, Kai Feng 100022, Peoples R China
4.China Natl Ctr Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing 100022, Peoples R China
5.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
6.Ningxia Univ, Ningxia China Arab Key Lab Resource Assessment &, Yinchuan 750021, Peoples R China
7.Ningxia Univ, Dept Resources & Environm, Yinchuan 750021, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Li, Jie,Zhang, Xiangxue,Wang, Li,et al. Spatial-temporal heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease and impact of meteorological factors in arid/ semi-arid regions: a case study in Ningxia, China[J]. BMC PUBLIC HEALTH,2019,19(1):11.
APA Li, Jie.,Zhang, Xiangxue.,Wang, Li.,Xu, Chengdong.,Xiao, Gexin.,...&Wang, Fang.(2019).Spatial-temporal heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease and impact of meteorological factors in arid/ semi-arid regions: a case study in Ningxia, China.BMC PUBLIC HEALTH,19(1),11.
MLA Li, Jie,et al."Spatial-temporal heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease and impact of meteorological factors in arid/ semi-arid regions: a case study in Ningxia, China".BMC PUBLIC HEALTH 19.1(2019):11.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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