Scenarios of land cover in Eurasia under climate change
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Fan, Zemeng1,2,3; Bai, Ruyu1,2; Yue, Tianxiang1,2,3 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020 |
| 卷号 | 30期号:1页码:3-17 |
| 关键词 | SMLCS climate change land cover scenarios Eurasia |
| ISSN号 | 1009-637X |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11442-020-1711-1 |
| 通讯作者 | Fan, Zemeng(fanzm@lreis.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The method for surface modelling of land cover scenarios (SMLCS) has been improved to simulate the scenarios of land cover in Eurasia. On the basis of the observation monthly climatic data observed from 2127 weather stations in Eurasia during 1981-2010, the climatic scenarios data of RCP26, RCP45 and RCP85 scenarios released by CMIP5, and the land cover current data of Eurasia in 2010, the land cover scenarios of Eurasia were respectively simulated. The results show that most land cover types would generally have similar changing trends in the future, but with some difference in different periods under the three scenarios of RCP26, RCP45 and RCP85. Deciduous needleleaf forest, mixed forest, shrub land, wetlands and snow and ice would generally decrease in Eurasia during 2010-2100. Snow and ice would have the fastest decreasing rate that would decrease by 37.42% on average. Shrub land would have the slowest decreasing rate that would decrease by 5.65% on average. Water bodies would have the fastest increasing rate that would increase by 28.78% on average. Barren or sparsely vegetated land would have the slowest increasing rate that would increase by 0.76%. Moreover, the simulated results show that climate change would directly impact on land cover change in Eurasia. |
| WOS关键词 | MAJOR TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; SIMULATION ; MODEL ; SOUTHWESTERN ; CLUE |
| 资助项目 | National Key R&D Program of China[2017YFA0603702] ; National Key R&D Program of China[2018YFC0507200] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41421001] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41271406] ; Innovation Project of LREIS |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000520220600001 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| 资助机构 | National Key R&D Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Innovation Project of LREIS |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/133489]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Fan, Zemeng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Reso, Nanjing 210023, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fan, Zemeng,Bai, Ruyu,Yue, Tianxiang. Scenarios of land cover in Eurasia under climate change[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2020,30(1):3-17. |
| APA | Fan, Zemeng,Bai, Ruyu,&Yue, Tianxiang.(2020).Scenarios of land cover in Eurasia under climate change.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,30(1),3-17. |
| MLA | Fan, Zemeng,et al."Scenarios of land cover in Eurasia under climate change".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 30.1(2020):3-17. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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