Spatial heterogeneity of bacillary dysentery and the impact of temperature in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region of China
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Wang, Li3,4,5; Xu, Chengdong4,6; Xiao, Gexin1; Qiao, Jiajun3; Zhang, Chaozheng2 |
刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
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出版日期 | 2021-05-28 |
页码 | 9 |
关键词 | Bacillary dysentery Spatial risk Risk detection |
ISSN号 | 0020-7128 |
DOI | 10.1007/s00484-021-02148-3 |
通讯作者 | Xiao, Gexin(biocomputer@126.com) ; Qiao, Jiajun() |
英文摘要 | Previous studies indicate that the incidence of bacillary dysentery is closely related to meteorological factors. However, the impact of temperature and the spatial heterogeneity of the disease in regions of unbalanced socioeconomic development remains unclear. Therefore, this research collected data for 29,639 daily bacillary dysentery cases in children under 5 years of age, as well as the meteorological variables from China's Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, to analyze the spatial pattern of bacillary dysentery and reveal its nonlinear association with temperature. The SatScan method was employed first, to detect the spatial heterogeneity of the disease risk, and then the distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to analyze the relationships between the daily minimum, mean, and maximum temperatures and bacillary dysentery in the stratified heterogeneous regions. The results indicated that bacillary dysentery incidence presented statistically significant spatial heterogeneity. The area of highest risk was found to be Beijing and its neighboring regions, which have high population densities. There was also a positive association between bacillary dysentery and temperature. Hotter temperatures were accompanied by higher relative risks. In the most likely spatial cluster region, the excess risk (ER) values for a 1 degrees C rise in minimum, mean, and maximum temperatures above the median were 4.65%, 11.30%, and 19.21%, respectively. The effect of temperature on bacillary dysentery peaked at a lag of 3 to 4 days. The findings of this study will aid risk assessments and early warning systems for bacillary dysentery. |
WOS关键词 | AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE ; DIARRHEA ; BURDEN ; DISEASES ; NORTHERN ; WEATHER |
资助项目 | National Science Foundation of China[41901331] ; National Science Foundation of China[41971357] ; Henan Postdoctoral Science Foundation[CJ3050A0670196] ; State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System: Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA205YA] ; State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System: Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA200YA] |
WOS研究方向 | Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000655822300001 |
出版者 | SPRINGER |
资助机构 | National Science Foundation of China ; Henan Postdoctoral Science Foundation ; State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System: Innovation Project of LREIS |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/162941] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Xiao, Gexin; Qiao, Jiajun |
作者单位 | 1.Natl Inst Hosp Adm, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China 2.China Natl Ctr Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing 100022, Peoples R China 3.Henan Univ, Coll Environm & Planning, Kaifeng 475001, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resource Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 5.Henan Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Geospatial Technol Middle & Lower Yellow, Kaifeng 475001, Peoples R China 6.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Li,Xu, Chengdong,Xiao, Gexin,et al. Spatial heterogeneity of bacillary dysentery and the impact of temperature in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region of China[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2021:9. |
APA | Wang, Li,Xu, Chengdong,Xiao, Gexin,Qiao, Jiajun,&Zhang, Chaozheng.(2021).Spatial heterogeneity of bacillary dysentery and the impact of temperature in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region of China.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,9. |
MLA | Wang, Li,et al."Spatial heterogeneity of bacillary dysentery and the impact of temperature in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region of China".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY (2021):9. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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