Economic sustainability of China's growth from the perspective of its resource and environmental supply system: National scale modeling and policy analysis
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Niu, Fangqu1,3; Jiang, Yanpeng2 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-08-01 |
| 卷号 | 31期号:8页码:1171-1186 |
| 关键词 | sustainable development growth rate resource and environmental carrying capacity (RECC) systematic-dynamic model (SD) China |
| ISSN号 | 1009-637X |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11442-021-1891-3 |
| 通讯作者 | Niu, Fangqu(niufq@lreis.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Since the implementation of the economic reform and opening up policy in 1978, China has miraculously created long-term high-speed economic growth, but has also had to face the problem of excessive consumption of resources as well as an intensification of environmental pollution. As a result, China is now facing a slowdown in development. China must maintain a certain speed of development to realize its goal of being a powerful nation, and becoming a developed country by 2050. To this end, China is facing a transformation of its economic development. There is a need to agree on an expected economic growth rate, along with the corresponding development modes or means of regulation in the medium- and long-term periods. This study developed a systematic-dynamic model to simulate the coupling relationship between economic growth, development modes, and the environmental supply system, and explored the possible options for future economic growth as well as the resource use and environmental protection requirements (the main factors). The results showed that to achieve the development goal of becoming a developed country by 2050, while maintaining a good ecological environment, the suitable growth rate for China's economy is 3.8%-6.3%. Within this range, a growth rate of 3.8%-4.4% was found to be relatively safe, while a growth rate of 4.4%-6.3% required further technical progress. This study provides an early warning in regard to China's environmental and development status. The study was a response to the "Future Earth" framework document and, in terms of development speed, it developed a theoretical system for the determination of resource and environmental carrying capacity (RECC). |
| WOS关键词 | ECOLOGICAL CARRYING-CAPACITY ; DYNAMICS |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[42071153] ; Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000682661600006 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/164653]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Niu, Fangqu |
| 作者单位 | 1.Collaborat Innovat Ctr Geopolit Setting Southwest, Kunming 650500, Yunnan, Peoples R China 2.East China Normal Univ, Sch Urban & Reg Sci, Ctr Modern Chinese City Studies, Inst Global Innovat & Dev, Shanghai 200062, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Niu, Fangqu,Jiang, Yanpeng. Economic sustainability of China's growth from the perspective of its resource and environmental supply system: National scale modeling and policy analysis[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2021,31(8):1171-1186. |
| APA | Niu, Fangqu,&Jiang, Yanpeng.(2021).Economic sustainability of China's growth from the perspective of its resource and environmental supply system: National scale modeling and policy analysis.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,31(8),1171-1186. |
| MLA | Niu, Fangqu,et al."Economic sustainability of China's growth from the perspective of its resource and environmental supply system: National scale modeling and policy analysis".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 31.8(2021):1171-1186. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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