Two centuries of April-July temperature change in southeastern China and its influence on grain productivity
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Shi, Jiangfeng2; Li, Jinbao1; Zhang, David D.1; Zheng, Jingyun3; Shi, Shiyuan2; Ge, Quansheng3; Lee, Harry F.1; Zhao, Yesi2; Zhang, Jie2; Lu, Huayu2 |
刊名 | SCIENCE BULLETIN
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出版日期 | 2017-01-15 |
卷号 | 62期号:1页码:40-45 |
关键词 | Temperature Grain productivity Social disturbance China Tree-rings |
ISSN号 | 2095-9273 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.scib.2016.11.005 |
英文摘要 | China is a traditional agriculture based country and one main region for crop production is southeastern China where temperature is a dominant climate variable affecting agriculture. Temperature and social disturbances both influence crop production, yet distinguishing their relative impacts is difficult due to a lack of reliable, high-resolution historical climatic records before the very recent period. Here we present the first tree-ring based warm-season temperature reconstruction for southeastern China, a core region of the East Asian monsoon, for the past 227 years. The reconstruction target was April-July mean temperature, and our model explained 60.6% of the observed temperature variance during 1953-2012. Spatial correlation analysis showed that the reconstruction is representative of April-July temperature change over most of eastern China. The reconstructed temperature series agrees well with China-scale (heavily weighted in eastern China) agricultural production index values quite well at decadal timescales. The impacts of social upheavals on food production, such as those in the period 1920-1949, were confirmed after climatic influences were excluded. Our study should help distinguish the influence of social disturbance and warm-season temperature on grain productivity in the core agricultural region of China during the past two centuries. (C) 2016 Science China Press. Published by Elsevier B.V. and Science China Press. All rights reserved. |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; YANGTZE-RIVER ; LOWER REACHES ; TIBETAN PLATEAU ; TREE-RINGS ; VARIABILITY ; RECONSTRUCTION ; FLUCTUATIONS ; AGRICULTURE ; AD |
资助项目 | Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions ; National Natural Science Foundation of China Project[41271210] ; National Key R&D Program of China[2016YFA0600503] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[20620140083] ; Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Change ; UNESCO[CHINA-4500193250] |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000396756600008 |
出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/64851] ![]() |
专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Hong Kong, Dept Geog, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 2.Nanjing Univ, Sch Geog & Oceanog Sci, Minist Educ, Key Lab Coast & Isl Dev, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shi, Jiangfeng,Li, Jinbao,Zhang, David D.,et al. Two centuries of April-July temperature change in southeastern China and its influence on grain productivity[J]. SCIENCE BULLETIN,2017,62(1):40-45. |
APA | Shi, Jiangfeng.,Li, Jinbao.,Zhang, David D..,Zheng, Jingyun.,Shi, Shiyuan.,...&Lu, Huayu.(2017).Two centuries of April-July temperature change in southeastern China and its influence on grain productivity.SCIENCE BULLETIN,62(1),40-45. |
MLA | Shi, Jiangfeng,et al."Two centuries of April-July temperature change in southeastern China and its influence on grain productivity".SCIENCE BULLETIN 62.1(2017):40-45. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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