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Varying climatic-social-geographical patterns shape the conflict risk at regional and global scales

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Hao, Mengmeng2,4; Ding, Fangyu2,4; Xie, Xiaolan2,4; Fu, Jingying2,4; Qian, Yushu2; Ide, Tobias5; Maystadt, Jean-Francois1,3,6; Chen, Shuai2,4; Ge, Quansheng2; Jiang, Dong2,4
刊名HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS
出版日期2022-08-17
卷号9期号:1页码:8
DOI10.1057/s41599-022-01294-2
通讯作者Ge, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Jiang, Dong(jiangd@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要Given that armed conflict has been seriously impeding sustainable development, reducing the frequency and intensity of armed conflicts has become an explicit goal and a common theme of the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. Determining the factors shaping armed conflict risks in different regions could support formulating region-specific strategies to prevent armed conflicts. A machine learning approach was applied to reveal the drivers of, and especially the impact of climatic conditions on, armed conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia and characterizes their changes over time. The analyses show a rising impact of climatic conditions on armed conflict risk over the past decades, although the influences vary regionally. The overall percentage increases in the contribution of climatic conditions to conflict risks over the last 30 years in Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia are 4.25, 4.76, and 10.65 percentage points, respectively. Furthermore, it is found that the Climatic-Social-Geographical ("C-S-G") patterns that characterize armed conflict risks vary across the three studied regions, while each regional pattern remains relatively stable over time. These findings indicate that when devising defenses against conflicts, it is required to adapt to specific situations in each region to more effectively mitigate the risk of armed conflict and pursue Sustainability Development Goals.
WOS关键词ARMED-CONFLICT ; ECONOMIC SHOCKS ; CIVIL CONFLICT ; VULNERABILITY ; WAR ; VARIABILITY ; INTERSTATE ; DISASTERS ; IMPACTS ; DROUGHT
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[42001238]
WOS研究方向Arts & Humanities - Other Topics ; Social Sciences - Other Topics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000842542700002
出版者SPRINGERNATURE
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/166551]  
专题陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Ge, Quansheng; Jiang, Dong
作者单位1.Lancaster Univ Management Sch, Dept Econ, Lancaster, England
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.UCLouvain, IRES LIDAM, Ottignies, Belgium
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
5.Murdoch Univ, Harry Butler Inst, Perth, WA, Australia
6.FNRS Fonds Rech Sci, Brussels, Belgium
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Hao, Mengmeng,Ding, Fangyu,Xie, Xiaolan,et al. Varying climatic-social-geographical patterns shape the conflict risk at regional and global scales[J]. HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS,2022,9(1):8.
APA Hao, Mengmeng.,Ding, Fangyu.,Xie, Xiaolan.,Fu, Jingying.,Qian, Yushu.,...&Jiang, Dong.(2022).Varying climatic-social-geographical patterns shape the conflict risk at regional and global scales.HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS,9(1),8.
MLA Hao, Mengmeng,et al."Varying climatic-social-geographical patterns shape the conflict risk at regional and global scales".HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS 9.1(2022):8.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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