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Battery technology and recycling alone will not save the electric mobility transition from future cobalt shortages

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Zeng, Anqi1,2,3; Chen, Wu2; Rasmussen, Kasper Dalgas2; Zhu, Xuehong1,3; Lundhaug, Maren4; Muller, Daniel B.4; Tan, Juan5; Keiding, Jakob K.5; Liu, Litao8; Dai, Tao6,7
刊名NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
出版日期2022-03-15
卷号13期号:1页码:11
DOI10.1038/s41467-022-29022-z
英文摘要In recent years, increasing attention has been given to the potential supply risks of critical battery materials, such as cobalt, for electric mobility transitions. While battery technology and recycling advancement are two widely acknowledged strategies for addressing such supply risks, the extent to which they will relieve global and regional cobalt demand-supply imbalance remains poorly understood. Here, we address this gap by simulating historical (1998-2019) and future (2020-2050) global cobalt cycles covering both traditional and emerging end uses with regional resolution (China, the U.S., Japan, the EU, and the rest of the world). We show that cobalt-free batteries and recycling progress can indeed significantly alleviate long-term cobalt supply risks. However, the cobalt supply shortage appears inevitable in the short- to medium-term (during 2028-2033), even under the most technologically optimistic scenario. Our results reveal varying cobalt supply security levels by region and indicate the urgency of boosting primary cobalt supply to ensure global e-mobility ambitions. New study finds cobalt-free batteries and recycling progress can significantly alleviate long-term cobalt supply risks, however a cobalt supply shortage appears inevitable in the short- to medium-term, even under the most technologically optimistic scenario.
WOS关键词DYNAMIC MATERIAL FLOW ; STOCK DYNAMICS ; LITHIUM ; CHINA ; METAL ; PATHWAYS ; TRACKING
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[71991484] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71633006] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72088101] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71991480] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71874210] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71874207] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72104253] ; Annual Innovation-driven Project of Central South University[2019CX016] ; Independent Research Fund Denmark (ReCAP) ; Villum Center for Science of Sustainable Fuels and Chemicals (Villum Fonden)[9455]
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000804856300031
出版者NATURE PORTFOLIO
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Annual Innovation-driven Project of Central South University ; Independent Research Fund Denmark (ReCAP) ; Villum Center for Science of Sustainable Fuels and Chemicals (Villum Fonden)
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/179158]  
专题资源利用与环境修复重点实验室_外文论文
作者单位1.Cent South Univ, Sch Business, Changsha 410083, Peoples R China
2.Univ Southern Denmark, Dept Green Technol, SDU Life Cycle Engn, DK-5230 Odense, Denmark
3.Cent South Univ, Inst Met Resources Strategy, Changsha 410083, Peoples R China
4.Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Energy & Proc Engn, Ind Ecol Programme, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway
5.Geol Survey Denmark & Greenland, Ctr Minerals & Mat, DK-1350 Copenhagen, Denmark
6.China Geol Survey, Beijing 100037, Peoples R China
7.Chinese Acad Geol Sci, Res Ctr Strategy Global Mineral Resources, Beijing 100037, Peoples R China
8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Zeng, Anqi,Chen, Wu,Rasmussen, Kasper Dalgas,et al. Battery technology and recycling alone will not save the electric mobility transition from future cobalt shortages[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2022,13(1):11.
APA Zeng, Anqi.,Chen, Wu.,Rasmussen, Kasper Dalgas.,Zhu, Xuehong.,Lundhaug, Maren.,...&Liu, Gang.(2022).Battery technology and recycling alone will not save the electric mobility transition from future cobalt shortages.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,13(1),11.
MLA Zeng, Anqi,et al."Battery technology and recycling alone will not save the electric mobility transition from future cobalt shortages".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 13.1(2022):11.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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