Building social resilience in North Korea can mitigate the impacts of climate change on food security
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Yu Shi1,9; Yajie Zhang1; Bingyan Wu1,9; Bin Wang2; Linchao Li1,9; Hao Shi3; Ning Jin4; De Li Liu2; Ruiqing Miao5; Xiaoliang Lu1 |
刊名 | Nature Food
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出版日期 | 2022-07 |
卷号 | 7期号:7页码:499-511 |
关键词 | Crop Yield Adaptation Vulnerability Risk |
DOI | 10.1038/s43016-022-00551-6 |
英文摘要 | Adaptation based on social resilience is proposed as an effective measure to mitigate hunger and avoid food shocks caused by climate change. But these have not been investigated comprehensively in climate-sensitive regions. North Korea (NK) and its neighbours, South Korea and China, represent three economic levels that provide us with examples for examining climatic risk and quantifying the contribution of social resilience to rice production. Here our data-driven estimates show that climatic factors determined rice biomass changes in NK from 2000 to 2017, and climate extremes triggered reductions in production in 2000 and 2007. If no action is taken, NK will face a higher climatic risk (with continuous high-temperature heatwaves and precipitation extremes) by the 2080s under a high-emissions scenario, when rice biomass and production are expected to decrease by 20.2% and 14.4%, respectively, thereby potentially increasing hunger in NK. Social resilience (agricultural inputs and population development for South Korea; resource use for China) mitigated climate shocks in the past 20 years (2000-2019), even transforming adverse effects into benefits. However, this effect was not significant in NK. Moreover, the contribution of social resilience to food production in the undeveloped region (15.2%) was far below the contribution observed in the developed and developing regions (83.0% and 86.1%, respectively). These findings highlight the importance of social resilience to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on food security and human hunger and provide necessary quantitative information. |
语种 | 英语 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/184460] ![]() |
专题 | 陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文 |
作者单位 | 1.Northwest A&F Univ, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Yangling, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 2.Wagga Wagga Agr Inst, New South Wales Dept Primary Ind, Wagga Wagga, NSW, Australia 3.Auburn Univ, Coll Forestry Wildlife & Environm, Int Ctr Climate & Global Change Res, Auburn, AL USA 4.Shanxi Inst Energy, Dept Resources & Environm, Jinzhong, Peoples R China 5.Auburn Univ, Dept Agr Econ & Rural Sociol, Auburn, AL 36849 USA 6.Natl Meteorol Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China 7.Boston Coll, Schiller Inst Integrated Sci & Soc, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467 USA 8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proces, Beijing, Peoples R China 9.Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 10.Zhengzhou Univ, Coll Earth Sci & Technol, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yu Shi,Yajie Zhang,Bingyan Wu,et al. Building social resilience in North Korea can mitigate the impacts of climate change on food security[J]. Nature Food,2022,7(7):499-511. |
APA | Yu Shi.,Yajie Zhang.,Bingyan Wu.,Bin Wang.,Linchao Li.,...&Qiang Yu.(2022).Building social resilience in North Korea can mitigate the impacts of climate change on food security.Nature Food,7(7),499-511. |
MLA | Yu Shi,et al."Building social resilience in North Korea can mitigate the impacts of climate change on food security".Nature Food 7.7(2022):499-511. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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