The dynamics of public safety in cities: A case study of Shanghai from 2010 to 2025
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yu, Danlin1; Fang, Chuanglin2 |
| 刊名 | HABITAT INTERNATIONAL
 |
| 出版日期 | 2017-11-01 |
| 卷号 | 69页码:104-113 |
| 关键词 | Public safety System dynamics Grey system simulation Prediction Shanghai |
| ISSN号 | 0197-3975 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.habitatint.2017.09.007 |
| 通讯作者 | Yu, Danlin(yud@mail.montclair.edu) ; Fang, Chuanglin(fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Cities in China are facing increasing challenges. Urban public safety concerns including urban crime, urban livability and urban disasters start to attract governmental, academic as well as public attention. Applying a system dynamics modeling scheme, this research investigates and attempts to simulate the public safety dynamics of Shanghai with a set of collected indicators that describes Shanghai's infrastructure and development, population, crime, livability and disaster during the past decade (2000-2009). The feedback loops are constructed based on exploratory data mining through regular statistical analyses and grey system simulation. The analytical results suggest Shanghai's public safety is increasing due to a high level of urban socioeconomic development, which provides a foundation for urban public safety. In the meantime, factors that 'expend' such foundation (crimes and disasters) increased at a relatively lower level. Dynamic simulation on Shanghai's public safety suggests that the city could still enjoy its continuous improvement of public safety providing the city continues to develop like in the past decade, which might not be the case in the long run. A few scenarios are presented by altering a few critical variables to demonstrate potential public safety dynamics of Shanghai in the next 15 years. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| WOS关键词 | SOLID-WASTE GENERATION ; SYSTEM DYNAMICS ; MODELING APPROACH ; CITY ; SUSTAINABILITY ; MANAGEMENT ; CHINA ; SIMULATION ; REGION ; VULNERABILITY |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41590840] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41590842] ; Regional Grant Studies of urban vulnerability based on micro geographic units via spatial data analysis and geocomputation[41461035] ; Xinjiang University ; National Nature Science Foundation of China[71373275] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public Administration ; Urban Studies |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000413612200010 |
| 出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Regional Grant Studies of urban vulnerability based on micro geographic units via spatial data analysis and geocomputation ; Xinjiang University ; National Nature Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/61071]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Yu, Danlin; Fang, Chuanglin |
| 作者单位 | 1.Montclair State Univ, Earth & Environm Studies, Montclair, NJ 07043 USA 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Dept Urban Dev, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yu, Danlin,Fang, Chuanglin. The dynamics of public safety in cities: A case study of Shanghai from 2010 to 2025[J]. HABITAT INTERNATIONAL,2017,69:104-113. |
| APA | Yu, Danlin,&Fang, Chuanglin.(2017).The dynamics of public safety in cities: A case study of Shanghai from 2010 to 2025.HABITAT INTERNATIONAL,69,104-113. |
| MLA | Yu, Danlin,et al."The dynamics of public safety in cities: A case study of Shanghai from 2010 to 2025".HABITAT INTERNATIONAL 69(2017):104-113. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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