中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Effects of climate change, CO2 and O-3 on wheat productivity in Eastern China, singly and in combination

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Tao, Fulu2,3; Feng, Zhaozhong3,4; Tang, Haoye5; Chen, Yi6; Kobayashi, Kazuhiko1
刊名ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT
出版日期2017-03-01
卷号153页码:182-193
关键词Air pollution Climate change CO2 fertilization Crop Ozone Risk
ISSN号1352-2310
DOI10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.01.032
通讯作者Tao, Fulu(taofl@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要Air pollution and climate change are increasing threats to agricultural production and food security. Extensive studies have focused on the effect of climate change, but the interactive effects of multiple global change factors are poorly understood. Here, we incorporate the interactions between climate change, carbon dioxide (CO2) and ozone (O-3) into an eco-physiological mechanistic model based on three years of 03 Free-Air Concentration Elevation (O-3-FACE) experiments. We then investigate the effects of climate change, elevated CO2 concentration ([CO2]) and rising O-3 concentration ([O-3]) on wheat growth and productivity in eastern China in 1996-2005 (2000s) and 2016-2025 (2020s) under two climate change scenarios, singly and in combination. We find the interactive effects of climate change, CO2 and O-3 on wheat productivity have spatially explicit patterns; the effect of climate change dominates the general pattern, which is however subject to the large uncertainties of climate change scenarios. Wheat productivity is estimated to increase by 2.8-9.0% due to elevated [CO2] however decline by 2.8-11.7% due to rising [O-3] in the 2020s, relative to the 2000s. The combined effects of CO2 and O-3 are less than that of 03 only, on average by 4.6-5.2%, however with O-3 damage outweighing CO2 benefit in most of the region. This study demonstrates a more biologically meaningful and appropriate approach for assessing the interactive effects of climate change, CO2 and O-3 on crop growth and productivity. Our findings promote the understanding on the interactive effects of multiple global change factors across contrasting climate conditions, cast doubt on the potential of CO2 fertilization effect in offsetting possible negative effect of climate change on crop productivity as suggested by many previous studies. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
WOS关键词ELEVATED OZONE CONCENTRATION ; FLUX-RESPONSE RELATIONSHIPS ; YANGTZE-RIVER DELTA ; INDUCED YIELD LOSS ; WINTER-WHEAT ; STOMATAL CONDUCTANCE ; FOOD SECURITY ; AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION ; CROP PRODUCTIVITY ; RISK-ASSESSMENT
资助项目gs1 :National Science Foundation of China[41571088] ; gs1 :National Science Foundation of China[31561143003] ; gs1 :National Science Foundation of China[41571493] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFD0300201] ; Hundred Talents Program ; Chinese Academy of Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000395354400017
出版者PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
资助机构gs1 :National Science Foundation of China ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Hundred Talents Program ; Chinese Academy of Sciences
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/64745]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Tao, Fulu
作者单位1.Univ Tokyo, Grad Sch Agr & Life Sci, Bunkyo Ku, 1-1-1 Yayoi, Tokyo, Japan
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 10049, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecoenvironm Sci, State Key Lab Urban & Reg Ecol, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Soil Sci, State Key Lab Soil & Sustainable Agr, Nanjing 210008, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
6.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Tao, Fulu,Feng, Zhaozhong,Tang, Haoye,et al. Effects of climate change, CO2 and O-3 on wheat productivity in Eastern China, singly and in combination[J]. ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT,2017,153:182-193.
APA Tao, Fulu,Feng, Zhaozhong,Tang, Haoye,Chen, Yi,&Kobayashi, Kazuhiko.(2017).Effects of climate change, CO2 and O-3 on wheat productivity in Eastern China, singly and in combination.ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT,153,182-193.
MLA Tao, Fulu,et al."Effects of climate change, CO2 and O-3 on wheat productivity in Eastern China, singly and in combination".ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT 153(2017):182-193.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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