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Modeling Climate Change Impacts on Rice Growth and Yield under Global Warming of 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C in the Pearl River Delta, China

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Guo, Yahui2,3,4; Wu, Wenxiang2,4; Du, Mingzhu1; Liu, Xiaoxuan5,6; Wang, Jingzhe7; Bryant, Christopher Robin8,9
刊名ATMOSPHERE
出版日期2019-10-01
卷号10期号:10页码:26
关键词adaptive measures climatic change CO2 fertilization effect Guangdong Province Ceres-Rice Model rice production
DOI10.3390/atmos10100567
通讯作者Wu, Wenxiang(wuwenxiang2018@163.com)
英文摘要In this study, the potential climate change impacts on rice growth and rice yield under 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C warming scenarios, respectively, are simulated using the Ceres-Rice Model based on high-quality, agricultural, experimental, meteorological and soil data, and the incorporation of future climate data generated by four Global Climate Models (GCMs) in the Pearl River Delta, China. The climatic data is extracted from four Global Climate Models (GCMs) namely: The Community Atmosphere Model 4 (CAM4), The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts-Hamburg 6 (ECHAM6), Model for Interdisciplinary Research On Climate 5 (MIROC5) and the Norwegian Earth System Model 1 (NorESM1). The modeling results show that climate change has major negative impacts on both rice growth and rice yields at all study sites. More specifically, the average of flowering durations decreases by 2.8 days (3.9 days), and the maturity date decreases by 11.0 days (14.7 days) under the 1.5 degrees C and (2.0 degrees C) warming scenarios, respectively. The yield for early mature rice and late mature rice are reduced by 292.5 kg/ha (558.9 kg/ha) and 151.8 kg/ha (380.0 kg/ha) under the 1.5 degrees C (2.0 degrees C) warming scenarios, respectively. Adjusting the planting dates of eight days later and 15 days earlier for early mature rice and late mature rice are simulated to be adaptively effective, respectively. The simulated optimum fertilizer amount is about 240 kg/ha, with different industrial fertilizer and organic matter being applied.
WOS关键词MEAN TEMPERATURE INCREASE ; CERES-RICE ; CROP YIELD ; MAJOR CROPS ; PARIS AGREEMENT ; NITROGEN ; MANAGEMENT ; MAIZE ; VARIABILITY ; ADAPTATION
资助项目National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602402] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040101] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040304]
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000498267500005
出版者MDPI
资助机构National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/130416]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Wu, Wenxiang
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Agr Informat Inst, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
2.Univ Sanya, Academician Workstn Zhai Mingguo, Sanya 572000, Peoples R China
3.Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing Key Lab Urban Hydrol Cycle & Sponge City, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
5.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Key Lab Earth Syst Modeling, Minist Educ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
6.Joint Ctr Global Change Studies, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
7.Guangdong Inst Ecoenvironm Sci & Technol, Guangdong Key Lab Integrated Agroenvironm Pollut, Guangzhou 510650, Guangdong, Peoples R China
8.Univ Guelph, Sch Environm Design & Rural Dev, Guelph, ON N1G 2W5, Canada
9.Univ Montreal, Geog, Montreal, PQ H2V 2B8, Canada
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Guo, Yahui,Wu, Wenxiang,Du, Mingzhu,et al. Modeling Climate Change Impacts on Rice Growth and Yield under Global Warming of 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C in the Pearl River Delta, China[J]. ATMOSPHERE,2019,10(10):26.
APA Guo, Yahui,Wu, Wenxiang,Du, Mingzhu,Liu, Xiaoxuan,Wang, Jingzhe,&Bryant, Christopher Robin.(2019).Modeling Climate Change Impacts on Rice Growth and Yield under Global Warming of 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C in the Pearl River Delta, China.ATMOSPHERE,10(10),26.
MLA Guo, Yahui,et al."Modeling Climate Change Impacts on Rice Growth and Yield under Global Warming of 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C in the Pearl River Delta, China".ATMOSPHERE 10.10(2019):26.

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