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Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Yin, Yuanyuan2,3,4; Wang, Lei2,3,5; Wang, Zhongjing6; Tang, Qiuhong5,7; Piao, Shilong8; Chen, Deliang9; Xia, Jun10; Conradt, Tobias11; Liu, Junguo12; Wada, Yoshihide13
刊名EARTHS FUTURE
出版日期2020-08-01
卷号8期号:8页码:17
DOI10.1029/2020EF001492
通讯作者Wang, Lei(wanglei@itpcas.ac.cn)
英文摘要With the increasing pressure from population growth and economic development, northern China (NC) faces a grand challenge of water scarcity, which can be further exacerbated by climatic and societal changes. The South-to-North Water Diversion (SNWD) project is designed to mitigate the water scarcity in NC. However, few studies have quantified the impact of the SNWD on water scarcity within the context of climatic and societal changes and its potential effects on economic and agricultural food in the region. We used water supply stress index (WaSSI) to quantify water scarcity within the context of environmental change in NC and developed a method to estimate the economic and agricultural impacts of the SNWD. Focuses were put on alleviating the water supply shortage and economic and agricultural benefits for the water-receiving NC. We find that societal changes, especially economic growth, are the major contributors to water scarcity in NC during 2009-2099. To completely mitigate the water scarcity of NC, at least an additional water supply of 13 billion m(3)/year (comparable to the annual diversion water by SNWD Central Route) will be necessary. Although SNWD alone cannot provide the full solution to NC's water shortage in next few decades, it can significantly alleviate the water supply stress in NC (particularly Beijing), considerably increasing the agricultural production (more than 115 Tcal/year) and bringing economic benefits (more than 51 billion RMB/year) through supplying industrial and domestic water use. Additionally, the transfer project could have impacts on the ecological environment in the exporting regions.
WOS关键词TRANSFER PROJECT ; RIVER-BASIN ; BENEFIT ASSESSMENT ; INTEGRATED MODEL ; IMPACTS ; RESOURCES ; CHALLENGES ; MANAGEMENT ; ROUTE ; CONSUMPTION
资助项目Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20060202] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19070301] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41901046] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[91747201] ; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)[01LS1201A]
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
出版者AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
WOS记录号WOS:000565640100010
资助机构Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/157956]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Wang, Lei
作者单位1.Univ Illinois, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ven Te Chow Hydrosyst Lab, Urbana, IL USA
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
5.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary, Beijing, Peoples R China
6.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Hydraul Engn, State Key Lab Hydrosci & Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
7.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
8.Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
9.Univ Gothenburg, Dept Earth Sci, Reg Climate Grp, Gothenburg, Sweden
10.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Yin, Yuanyuan,Wang, Lei,Wang, Zhongjing,et al. Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion[J]. EARTHS FUTURE,2020,8(8):17.
APA Yin, Yuanyuan.,Wang, Lei.,Wang, Zhongjing.,Tang, Qiuhong.,Piao, Shilong.,...&Zhang, Jianyun.(2020).Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion.EARTHS FUTURE,8(8),17.
MLA Yin, Yuanyuan,et al."Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion".EARTHS FUTURE 8.8(2020):17.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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