Simulation of the Growth Potential of Sugarcane as an Energy Crop Based on the APSIM Model
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Peng, Ting1,2; Fu, Jingying1,2; Jiang, Dong1,2,3; Du, Jinshuang1,2 |
| 刊名 | ENERGIES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020-05-01 |
| 卷号 | 13期号:9页码:20 |
| 关键词 | APSIM sugarcane model energy potential marginal land sensitivity analysis |
| DOI | 10.3390/en13092173 |
| 通讯作者 | Jiang, Dong(jiangd@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Du, Jinshuang(jins.18s@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Research on the development of plants grown for energy purposes is important for ensuring the global energy supply and reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and simulation is an important method to study its potential. This paper evaluated the marginal land that could be used to grow sugarcane in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. Based on the meteorological data from 2009 to 2017 in this region and field observations from sugarcane plantations, the sensitivity of the APSIM (Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator) model parameters was analyzed by an extended Fourier amplitude sensitivity test, and the APSIM model was validated for sugarcane phenology and yields. During the process of model validation, the value of the determination coefficient R-2 of the observed and simulated values was between 0.76 and 0.91, and the consistency index D was between 0.91 and 0.97, indicating a good fit. On this basis, the APSIM sugarcane model was used to simulate the sugarcane production potential of the marginal land on a surface scale, and the distribution pattern of sugarcane production potential in the marginal land was obtained. The simulation results showed that if sugarcane was planted as an energy crop on the marginal land in Guangxi, it would likely yield approximately 42,522.05 x 10(4) t of cane stalks per year. It was estimated that the sugarcane grown on the marginal land plus 50% of the sugarcane grown on the cropland would be sufficient to produce approximately 3847.37 x 10(4) t of ethanol fuel. After meeting the demands for vehicle ethanol fuel in Guangxi, 3808.14 x 10(4) t of ethanol fuel would remain and could be exported to the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations). |
| WOS关键词 | YIELD ; BRAZIL ; STRAW |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971250] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association[2018068] |
| WOS研究方向 | Energy & Fuels |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000535739300051 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/159584]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Jiang, Dong; Du, Jinshuang |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Minist Land & Resources, Key Lab Carrying Capac Assessment Resource & Envi, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Peng, Ting,Fu, Jingying,Jiang, Dong,et al. Simulation of the Growth Potential of Sugarcane as an Energy Crop Based on the APSIM Model[J]. ENERGIES,2020,13(9):20. |
| APA | Peng, Ting,Fu, Jingying,Jiang, Dong,&Du, Jinshuang.(2020).Simulation of the Growth Potential of Sugarcane as an Energy Crop Based on the APSIM Model.ENERGIES,13(9),20. |
| MLA | Peng, Ting,et al."Simulation of the Growth Potential of Sugarcane as an Energy Crop Based on the APSIM Model".ENERGIES 13.9(2020):20. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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