Evaluating the uncertainty of eight approaches for separating the impacts of climate change and human activities on streamflow
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Luan, Jinkai1,3; Zhang, Yongqiang1; Ma, Ning1; Tian, Jing1; Li, Xiaojie1; Liu, Dengfeng2 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-10-01 |
| 卷号 | 601页码:13 |
| 关键词 | Uncertainty Climate change Human activities Streamflow Hydrological model Yellow River Basin |
| ISSN号 | 0022-1694 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126605 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Yongqiang(yongqiang.zhang2014@gmail.com) |
| 英文摘要 | Numerous studies have separated the impacts of climate change and human activities on streamflow. However, the uncertainties of various methods applied for separating such impacts are seldom studied. Here, we comprehensively investigated the uncertainty and causality of eight methods (two statistical methods, two sensitivity coefficient methods and four hydrological models) for separating the contributions of climate change and human activities to streamflow over 20 catchments from 1952 to 2016 within the Yellow River Basin. The ensemble mean of the eight methods indicates that human activities play a leading role in streamflow changes in most selected catchments. However, the contributions vary greatly across different methods. The contribution of human activities in change period II is greater than that in change period I in most catchments that have two change periods, showing a gradually increasing trend in the contribution of human activities. With the increase in the contribution of climate change (or human activities) to streamflow, the uncertainty first increases before the contribution reaches similar to 50% and then decreases. Our study suggests that it is useful to use multiple methods to reduce uncertainty in quantifying the impacts in catchments where climate change and human activity have similar influences. |
| WOS关键词 | YELLOW-RIVER BASIN ; LOESS PLATEAU ; ATTRIBUTION ANALYSIS ; UNGAUGED CATCHMENTS ; FLOW REGULATION ; RUNOFF DECLINE ; WATER SCARCITY ; WEIHE RIVER ; CHINA ; MODEL |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971032] ; CAS Pioneer Hundred Talents Program ; Science for a Better Development of Inner Mongolia Program of the Bureau of Science and Technology of the Inner Mongolia Province |
| WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000695816300026 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; CAS Pioneer Hundred Talents Program ; Science for a Better Development of Inner Mongolia Program of the Bureau of Science and Technology of the Inner Mongolia Province |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/165707]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Yongqiang |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Xian Univ Technol, State Key Lab Ecohydraul Northwest Arid Reg, Xian 710048, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Luan, Jinkai,Zhang, Yongqiang,Ma, Ning,et al. Evaluating the uncertainty of eight approaches for separating the impacts of climate change and human activities on streamflow[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,2021,601:13. |
| APA | Luan, Jinkai,Zhang, Yongqiang,Ma, Ning,Tian, Jing,Li, Xiaojie,&Liu, Dengfeng.(2021).Evaluating the uncertainty of eight approaches for separating the impacts of climate change and human activities on streamflow.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,601,13. |
| MLA | Luan, Jinkai,et al."Evaluating the uncertainty of eight approaches for separating the impacts of climate change and human activities on streamflow".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 601(2021):13. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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