Quantifying risk factors and potential geographic extent of African swine fever across the world
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Jiang, Dong7,8; Ma, Tian7,8; Hao, Mengmeng7,8; Ding, Fangyu7,8; Sun, Kai7,8; Wang, Qian6; Kang, Tingting5; Wang, Di7,8; Zhao, Shen8; Li, Meng1 |
刊名 | PLOS ONE |
出版日期 | 2022 |
卷号 | 17期号:4页码:12 |
ISSN号 | 1932-6203 |
DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0267128 |
通讯作者 | Ding, Fangyu(dingfy@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Chen, Shuai(chens.20b@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Li, Yin(yin.li@csiro.au) |
英文摘要 | African swine fever (ASF) has spread to many countries in Africa, Europe and Asia in the past decades. However, the potential geographic extent of ASF infection is unknown. Here we combined a modeling framework with the assembled contemporary records of ASF cases and multiple covariates to predict the risk distribution of ASF at a global scale. Local spatial variations in ASF risk derived from domestic pigs is influenced strongly by livestock factors, while the risk of having ASF in wild boars is mainly associated with natural habitat covariates. The risk maps show that ASF is to be ubiquitous in many areas, with a higher risk in areas in the northern hemisphere. Nearly half of the world's domestic pigs (1.388 billion) are in the high-risk zones. Our results provide a better understanding of the potential distribution beyond the current geographical scope of the disease. |
WOS关键词 | MOLECULAR CHARACTERIZATION ; VISCERAL LEISHMANIASIS ; GLOBAL DISTRIBUTION ; RUSSIAN-FEDERATION ; AVIAN INFLUENZA ; SOFT TICKS ; VIRUS ; INFECTION ; CHINA ; PIGS |
资助项目 | Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040305] |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000795468200068 |
资助机构 | Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/178190] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Ding, Fangyu; Chen, Shuai; Li, Yin |
作者单位 | 1.Nantong Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Nantong, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Comp Network Informat Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Murdoch Univ, Ctr Biosecur & One Hlth, Sch Vet Med, Perth, WA, Australia 4.CSIRO, Brisbane, Qld, Australia 5.Peking Univ, Sch Urban Planning & Design, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Shenzhen, Guangdong, Peoples R China 6.Univ Oxford, Ctr Trop Med & Global Hlth, Nuffield Dept Med, Oxford, England 7.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China 8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jiang, Dong,Ma, Tian,Hao, Mengmeng,et al. Quantifying risk factors and potential geographic extent of African swine fever across the world[J]. PLOS ONE,2022,17(4):12. |
APA | Jiang, Dong.,Ma, Tian.,Hao, Mengmeng.,Ding, Fangyu.,Sun, Kai.,...&Li, Yin.(2022).Quantifying risk factors and potential geographic extent of African swine fever across the world.PLOS ONE,17(4),12. |
MLA | Jiang, Dong,et al."Quantifying risk factors and potential geographic extent of African swine fever across the world".PLOS ONE 17.4(2022):12. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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