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Cropland Expansion Mitigates the Supply and Demand Deficit for Carbon Sequestration Service under Different Scenarios in the Future-The Case of Xinjiang

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Shi, Mingjie3,4,5; Wu, Hongqi3,4; Jiang, Pingan3,4; Shi, Wenjiao5,6; Zhang, Mo5,6; Zhang, Lina3,4; Zhang, Haoyu7; Fan, Xin1,9; Liu, Zhuo3,4; Zheng, Kai3,4
刊名AGRICULTURE-BASEL
出版日期2022-08-01
卷号12期号:8页码:18
关键词carbon sequestration different scenarios land use sustainable development Xinjiang
DOI10.3390/agriculture12081182
通讯作者Wu, Hongqi(whq@xjau.edu.cn) ; Jiang, Pingan(xjaudbxb@xjau.edu.cn)
英文摘要China's double carbon initiative faces huge challenges, and understanding the carbon sequestration service of terrestrial ecosystems under future interannual regional land use change is important to respond to China's carbon policy effectively. Previous studies have recognized the important impact of land use/land cover (LULC) planning on carbon sequestration in terrestrial ecosystem services (ESs). However, exploring trends in carbon sequestration under sustainable development scenarios that combine economic and ecological development, particularly the mechanisms that balance the supply and demand of carbon sequestration, still requires in-depth exploration in different geographical contexts. In this study, we present the LULC simulation framework from 2000 to 2030 for four different development scenarios in the Xinjiang region, located in an important Belt and Road region, including business as usual (BAU), rapid economic development (RED), ecological land protection (ELP), and sustainable development with both economic and ecological development (SD). Our results suggest that both the supply and demand of carbon stock in Xinjiang will increase in 2025 and 2030, with the demand exceeding the supply. However, our scenario planning mitigates the supply and demand deficit situation for carbon sequestration in the context of future cropland expansion in different scenarios. In summary, our study's findings will enrich the study of carbon sequestration under future scenarios in the Belt and Road region. Xinjiang should pay more attention to the dynamic changes in landscape type structure and its carbon storage supply and demand caused by cultivated land expansion. Among the four scenarios, the spatial difference between carbon storage supply and demand based on the SD scenario is the smallest, which is more in line with the high-quality development of regional ecological security in Xinjiang.
WOS关键词ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; LAND ; PROJECTIONS ; MANAGEMENT ; TRADEOFFS ; LANDSCAPE ; LINKING
资助项目Major Science and Technology Special Projects in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China[2020A01002]
WOS研究方向Agriculture
语种英语
出版者MDPI
WOS记录号WOS:000846342400001
资助机构Major Science and Technology Special Projects in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/182067]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Wu, Hongqi; Jiang, Pingan
作者单位1.China Univ Geosci Wuhan, Sch Publ Adm, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst, Key Lab Digital Earth Sci, Beijing 100094, Peoples R China
3.Xinjiang Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm, Urumqi 830052, Peoples R China
4.Xinjiang Agr Univ, Xinjiang Key Lab Soil & Plant Ecol Proc, Urumqi 830052, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
6.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
7.Xinjiang Univ, Coll Geog & Remote Sensing Sci, Urumqi 830046, Peoples R China
8.Minist Nat Resources, Inst Oceanog 1, Key Lab Coastal Sci & Integrated Management, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China
9.China Univ Geosci, Ctr Turkmenistan Studies, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Shi, Mingjie,Wu, Hongqi,Jiang, Pingan,et al. Cropland Expansion Mitigates the Supply and Demand Deficit for Carbon Sequestration Service under Different Scenarios in the Future-The Case of Xinjiang[J]. AGRICULTURE-BASEL,2022,12(8):18.
APA Shi, Mingjie.,Wu, Hongqi.,Jiang, Pingan.,Shi, Wenjiao.,Zhang, Mo.,...&Baqa, Muhammad Fahad.(2022).Cropland Expansion Mitigates the Supply and Demand Deficit for Carbon Sequestration Service under Different Scenarios in the Future-The Case of Xinjiang.AGRICULTURE-BASEL,12(8),18.
MLA Shi, Mingjie,et al."Cropland Expansion Mitigates the Supply and Demand Deficit for Carbon Sequestration Service under Different Scenarios in the Future-The Case of Xinjiang".AGRICULTURE-BASEL 12.8(2022):18.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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