Spatio-temporal evolution and dynamic simulation of the urban resilience of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Mu Xufang1,2; Fang Chuanglin1,2; Yang Zhiqi1,2 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-09-01 |
| 卷号 | 32期号:9页码:1766-1790 |
| 关键词 | urban agglomeration urban resilience Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) evaluation system gray prediction model |
| ISSN号 | 1009-637X |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11442-022-2022-5 |
| 通讯作者 | Fang Chuanglin(fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The continuous growth of urban agglomerations in China has increased their complexity as well as vulnerability. In this context, urban resilience is critical for the healthy and sustainable development of urban agglomerations. Focusing on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) urban agglomeration, this study constructs an urban resilience evaluation system based on four subsystems: economy, society, infrastructure, and ecology. It uses the entropy method to measure the urban resilience of the BTH urban agglomeration from 2000 to 2018. Theil index, standard deviation ellipse, and gray prediction model GM (1,1) methods are used to examine the spatio-temporal evolution and dynamic simulation of urban resilience in this urban agglomeration. Our results show that the comprehensive evaluation index for urban resilience in the BTH urban agglomeration followed a steady upward trend from 2000 to 2018, with an average annual growth rate of 6.72%. There are significant differences in each subsystem's contribution to urban resilience; overall, economic resilience is the main factor affecting urban resilience, with an average annual growth rate of 8.06%. Spatial differences in urban resilience in the BTH urban agglomeration have decreased from 2000 to 2018, showing the typical characteristic of being greater in the central core area and lower in the surrounding non-core areas. The level of urban resilience in the BTH urban agglomeration is forecast to continue increasing over the next ten years. However, there are still considerable differences between the cities. Policy factors will play a positive role in promoting the resilience level. Based on the evaluation results, corresponding policy recommendations are put forward to provide scientific data support and a theoretical basis for the resilience construction of the BTH urban agglomeration. |
| WOS关键词 | FRAMEWORK |
| 资助项目 | Innovation Research Group Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China[42121001] |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000844773800009 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| 资助机构 | Innovation Research Group Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/182371]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Fang Chuanglin |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mu Xufang,Fang Chuanglin,Yang Zhiqi. Spatio-temporal evolution and dynamic simulation of the urban resilience of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2022,32(9):1766-1790. |
| APA | Mu Xufang,Fang Chuanglin,&Yang Zhiqi.(2022).Spatio-temporal evolution and dynamic simulation of the urban resilience of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,32(9),1766-1790. |
| MLA | Mu Xufang,et al."Spatio-temporal evolution and dynamic simulation of the urban resilience of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 32.9(2022):1766-1790. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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