Modelling the integrated effects of land use and climate change scenarios on forest ecosystem aboveground biomass, a case study in Taihe County of China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wu, Zhuo1,2; Dai, Erfu2; Ge, Quansheng2; Xi, Weimin3; Wang, Xiaofan1,2,4 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2017-02-01 |
| 卷号 | 27期号:2页码:205-222 |
| 关键词 | RCPs plantation forest aboveground biomass ABM LANDIS-II Taihe County |
| ISSN号 | 1009-637X |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11442-017-1372-x |
| 通讯作者 | Dai, Erfu(daief@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Global and regional environmental changes such as land use and climate change have significantly integrated and interactive effects on forest. These integrated effects will undoubtedly alter the distribution, function and succession processes of forest ecosystems. In order to adapt to these changes, it is necessary to understand their individual and integrated effects. In this study, we proposed a framework by using coupling models to gain a better understanding of the complex ecological processes. We combined an agent-based model for land use and land cover change (ABM/LUCC), an ecosystem process model (PnET-II), and a forest dynamic landscape model (LANDIS-II) to simulate the change of forest aboveground biomass (AGB) which was driven by land use and climate change factors for the period of 2010-2050 in Taihe County of southern China, where subtropical coniferous plantations dominate. We conducted a series of land use and climate change scenarios to compare the differences in forest AGB. The results show that: (1) land use, including town expansion, deforestation and forest conversion and climate change are likely to influence forest AGB in the near future in Taihe County. (2) Though climate change will make a good contribution to an increase in forest AGB, land use change can result in a rapid decrease in the forest AGB and play a vital role in the integrated simulation. The forest AGB under the integrated scenario decreased by 53.7% (RCP2.6 + land use), 57.2% (RCP4.5 + land use), and 56.9% (RCP8.5 + land use) by 2050, which is in comparison to the results under separate RCPs without land use disturbance. (3) The framework can offer a coupled method to better understand the complex and interactive ecological processes, which may provide some supports for adapting to land use and climate change, improving and optimizing plantation structure and function, and developing measures for sustainable forest management. |
| WOS关键词 | LANDSCAPE SIMULATION-MODEL ; GLOBAL CHANGE ; ELEVATED CO2 ; PLANTATION ; VEGETATION ; RESPONSES ; DYNAMICS ; IMPACTS ; DESIGN |
| 资助项目 | National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)[2015CB452702] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571098] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41371196] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41530749] ; National Key Technology RD Program[2013BAC03B04] |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000390068200005 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| 资助机构 | National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Key Technology RD Program |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/65398]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Dai, Erfu |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Biol & Hlth Sci, Kingsville, TX 78363 USA 4.China Land Surveying & Planning Inst, Key Lab Land Use, Minist Land & Resources, Beijing 100035, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wu, Zhuo,Dai, Erfu,Ge, Quansheng,et al. Modelling the integrated effects of land use and climate change scenarios on forest ecosystem aboveground biomass, a case study in Taihe County of China[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2017,27(2):205-222. |
| APA | Wu, Zhuo,Dai, Erfu,Ge, Quansheng,Xi, Weimin,&Wang, Xiaofan.(2017).Modelling the integrated effects of land use and climate change scenarios on forest ecosystem aboveground biomass, a case study in Taihe County of China.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,27(2),205-222. |
| MLA | Wu, Zhuo,et al."Modelling the integrated effects of land use and climate change scenarios on forest ecosystem aboveground biomass, a case study in Taihe County of China".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 27.2(2017):205-222. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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