Analysis of the carbon emission reduction potential of China's key industries under the IPCC 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C limits
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wu, Feng2; Huang, Ningyu1; Zhang, Fan2; Niu, Lulu2; Zhang, Yali2 |
| 刊名 | TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020-10-01 |
| 卷号 | 159页码:8 |
| 关键词 | Paris Agreement Carbon emission rights ZSG-DEA model Scenario analysis Emission reduction potential |
| ISSN号 | 0040-1625 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120198 |
| 英文摘要 | Carbon emission from human activities is one of the main factors inducing the on-going global warming. It is, therefore, essential to establish a shared responsibility in industry for carbon emissions reduction. In this study, we examined the allocation of carbon emission rights in China's six high-energy-consuming industries from the perspective of allocation efficiency. The initial carbon emission quota was iteratively optimized using the zerosum gains data envelopment analysis (ZSG-DEA) model. Furthermore, a scenario-based method was used to predict the future of various industries under a 1.5 degrees C warming target. According to our analysis, the largest carbon emission quota was in the transport industry, at 19.61 Gt CO2 under a 2 degrees C target and 16.27 Gt CO2 under a 1.5 degrees C target. The electric power industry and the iron and steel industry show the greatest potential for emissions reduction, and significant effort is now needed to achieve the allocation efficiency target. A "high economic growth and low energy consumption" scenario was more conducive to the sustainable growth of industry. Emissions reduction should focus on the electric power industry and the transport industry. In addition, the use of energy-saving and emissions-reducing technologies in high-energy-consuming industries should be increased. |
| WOS关键词 | CO2 EMISSIONS ; DIOXIDE EMISSION ; ALLOCATION ; EFFICIENCY ; PROVINCES ; IMPACTS |
| 资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Plan project[2016YFA0602504] |
| WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Public Administration |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000566797700004 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC |
| 资助机构 | National Key Research and Development Plan project |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/156861]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Tianjin Univ, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wu, Feng,Huang, Ningyu,Zhang, Fan,et al. Analysis of the carbon emission reduction potential of China's key industries under the IPCC 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C limits[J]. TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE,2020,159:8. |
| APA | Wu, Feng,Huang, Ningyu,Zhang, Fan,Niu, Lulu,&Zhang, Yali.(2020).Analysis of the carbon emission reduction potential of China's key industries under the IPCC 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C limits.TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE,159,8. |
| MLA | Wu, Feng,et al."Analysis of the carbon emission reduction potential of China's key industries under the IPCC 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C limits".TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE 159(2020):8. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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