Assessing the reliability, resilience and vulnerability of water supply system under multiple uncertain sources
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Ren, Kang1; Huang, Shengzhi1; Huang, Qiang1; Wang, Hao3; Leng, Guoyong2; Fang, Wei1; Li, Pei1 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020-04-10 |
| 卷号 | 252页码:14 |
| ISSN号 | 0959-6526 |
| 关键词 | Uncertainty Encounter risk Synthetic runoff generator Water resources management |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119806 |
| 英文摘要 | Water reservoirs often contain multiple runoff water sources, each of which is affected by a variety of uncertainties. The encounter situation defined in multiple water sources is the imbalance spatial-temporal distribution of water resources, which has a profound impact on the risk of water scarcity. This study presents a framework to evaluate the performance of a water supply system considering the encounter situations between different water sources. Based on the Han to Wei Inter-Basin Water Transfer (IBWT) project in the Shaanxi Province of China, the synchronous and asynchronous encounter probabilities are calculated using copula-based approach to characterize the encounter risks for water supply. Then, the synthetic monthly series of different water sources are generated through a synthetic streamflow-generated method based on the simulated annealing algorithm and fragment method, which is applied as the input variables of a reservoir optimization operation model. The metrics of reliability, resilience, and vulnerability are used to evaluate the performance of the water supply system. Results indicate that (1) regardless of whether the annual flow series is a full sequence or a pre- or post-changed sequence, the encounter probabilities between different water sources remain stable. However, there are obvious changes in the encounter probabilities of each month between different water sources; (2) The generated monthly flow series effectively preserves the internal composition of the historical data, which are adequate to evaluate the performance of the water supply system; (3) as the water demand increases, the reservoir's storage capacity decreases, and the reliability of the water supply depends on the wet encounter situations for different water sources; (4) the ability to describe the states of the system varies significantly according to the metrics selected, and the choice of the metrics of reliability, resilience (max), and vulnerability (mean) can adequately describe the states of the water supply system. This study appropriately constrained the uncertain inputs of the reservoir operation model to improve the credibility of decision making. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; STREAMFLOW MODELS ; RISK ; ROBUSTNESS ; IMPACT ; OPTIMIZATION ; STATIONARITY ; ASSESSMENTS ; GENERATION ; MULTISITE |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[51879213] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[51709221] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC0405900] ; Planning Project of Science and Technology of Water Resources of Shaanxi[2017slkj-16] ; Planning Project of Science and Technology of Water Resources of Shaanxi[2017slkj-19] ; Key laboratory research projects of the education department of Shaanxi province[17JS104] ; Open Research Fund of State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)[IWHRSKL-KF201803] ; Belt and Road Special Foundation of the State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering[2018490711] |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000516777200073 |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Planning Project of Science and Technology of Water Resources of Shaanxi ; Key laboratory research projects of the education department of Shaanxi province ; Open Research Fund of State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research) ; Belt and Road Special Foundation of the State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/133204]  |
| 专题 | 陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Xian Univ Technol, State Key Lab Ecohydraul Northwest Arid Reg China, Xian 710048, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, State Key Lab Simulat & Regulat Water Cycle River, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ren, Kang,Huang, Shengzhi,Huang, Qiang,et al. Assessing the reliability, resilience and vulnerability of water supply system under multiple uncertain sources[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2020,252:14. |
| APA | Ren, Kang.,Huang, Shengzhi.,Huang, Qiang.,Wang, Hao.,Leng, Guoyong.,...&Li, Pei.(2020).Assessing the reliability, resilience and vulnerability of water supply system under multiple uncertain sources.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,252,14. |
| MLA | Ren, Kang,et al."Assessing the reliability, resilience and vulnerability of water supply system under multiple uncertain sources".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 252(2020):14. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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