Future water security in the major basins of China under the 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C global warming scenarios
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhai, Ran2; Tao, Fulu3,4,5; Chen, Yi3,4; Dai, Huichao2; Liu, Zhiwu2; Fu, Bojie1,3 |
| 刊名 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-11-25 |
| 卷号 | 849页码:14 |
| ISSN号 | 0048-9697 |
| 关键词 | Climate change Droughts Water withdrawal Water resource Water shortage |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157928 |
| 通讯作者 | Tao, Fulu(taofl@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Freshwater is an essential resource for human lives, agriculture, industry, and ecology. Future water supply, water withdrawal, and water security under the impacts of climate change and human interventions have been of key concern. Numerous studies have projected future changes in river runoff and surface water resources under climate change. However, the changes in the major water withdrawal components including agricultural irrigation water, industrial, domestic and ecological water withdrawal, as well as the balance between water supply and withdrawal, under the joint impacts of climate change and socio-economic development have been seldom investigated, especially at the basin and national scales. In this study, changes in surface water resources, agricultural irrigation water, industrial, domestic and ecological water withdrawal, as well as the balances between water supply and withdrawal, under the baseline climate (2006-2015), 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C warming scenarios (2106-2115) in the 10 major basins across China, were investigated by combining modelling and local census data. The results showed that water withdrawal exceeded water supply in the basins of Liao River, Northwest River, Hai River, Yellow River and Huai River in the baseline period. Under the 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C warming scenarios, the shortage of water resources would aggravate in the above-mentioned basins and the Songhua River basin. And the surplus of water resources would reduce substantially in the basins of Yangtze River, Southeast River and Pearl River. Overall, the difference between water supply and water withdrawal was 435.88 billion m(3) during the baseline period, and would be 261.84 and 218.39 billion m(3), respectively, under the 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C warming scenarios. This study provides a comprehensive perspective on future water security in the 10 major basins across China, has important implications for water resources management and climate change adaptation. |
| WOS关键词 | SHARED SOCIOECONOMIC PATHWAYS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS ; USE EFFICIENCY ; AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION ; TEMPERATURE STRESS ; RICE YIELD ; MODEL ; IRRIGATION ; RESOURCES ; SCARCITY |
| 资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFA0604703] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U2040212] ; China Three Gorges Corporation[202103584] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000857121700016 |
| 资助机构 | National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; China Three Gorges Corporation |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/185275]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Tao, Fulu |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecoenvironm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.China Three Gorges Corp, Inst Sci & Technol, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 5.Nat Resources Inst Finland Luke, Helsinki 00790, Finland |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhai, Ran,Tao, Fulu,Chen, Yi,et al. Future water security in the major basins of China under the 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C global warming scenarios[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2022,849:14. |
| APA | Zhai, Ran,Tao, Fulu,Chen, Yi,Dai, Huichao,Liu, Zhiwu,&Fu, Bojie.(2022).Future water security in the major basins of China under the 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C global warming scenarios.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,849,14. |
| MLA | Zhai, Ran,et al."Future water security in the major basins of China under the 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C global warming scenarios".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 849(2022):14. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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