Predicting the changes in suitable habitats for six common woody species in Central Asia
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Tao, Zexing |
| 刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-10-21 |
| 页码 | 13 |
| 关键词 | Climate change Plant distribution Ecological modeling Annual precipitation MaxEnt |
| ISSN号 | 0020-7128 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s00484-022-02389-w |
| 通讯作者 | Tao, Zexing(taozx.12s@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Climate change over the past decades has significantly altered global hydrothermal conditions and caused an evident shift in species distribution. Predicting species distribution patterns and identifying their influencing factors will be essential in developing coping strategies to prevent species extirpation and extinction. Yet, environmental factors affecting the distribution of woody species in Central Asia remain largely unknown. Here, I used the MaxEnt model to predict the current distributions and future distribution under three SSP-RCP scenarios of six common woody species in Central Asia. The results indicated a good performance of the MaxEnt model. Precipitation of driest month and annual mean temperature were the dominant factors affecting species distribution. For the species with wide ecological niches, i.e., Acer negundo and Rosa chinensis, the suitable areas showed an evident expansion trend under future scenarios. In addition, a trend toward higher elevation was found for the species that grew at high altitudes (1600-3200 m). However, the average elevation of suitable area for A. negundo and R. chinensis firstly increased but then decreased under future scenarios. Even though the areas with high species diversity increased from 0.59% under the current situation to 0.82% and 0.81% under ssp245 in 2021-2040 and 2041-2060, respectively, species diversity showed an apparent loss in parts of the northwest and southeast areas under ssp370 and ssp585. This study can guide susceptible habitat protections under climate change. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RANGE SHIFTS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; RESPONSES ; IMPACTS ; PLANT ; MODELS |
| 资助项目 | National Key R&D Program of China[2018YFA0606102] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41901014] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20020202] |
| WOS研究方向 | Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000870941100001 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER |
| 资助机构 | National Key R&D Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/185910]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Tao, Zexing |
| 作者单位 | Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tao, Zexing. Predicting the changes in suitable habitats for six common woody species in Central Asia[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2022:13. |
| APA | Tao, Zexing.(2022).Predicting the changes in suitable habitats for six common woody species in Central Asia.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,13. |
| MLA | Tao, Zexing."Predicting the changes in suitable habitats for six common woody species in Central Asia".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY (2022):13. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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